The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pirin Blagoevgrad 6.8%
Draw 15.2%
Fratria 78%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12.5%
21.4%
66.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.2%
20.8%
68%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pirin Blagoevgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pirin Blagoevgrad's form might have worsened.
Fratria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fratria's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pirin Blagoevgrad than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pirin Blagoevgrad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fratria than the current prediction. (-10%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fratria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pirin Blagoevgrad - Fratria Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, ⚽,
35', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 3rd in the Promotion ~ efbet League (Promotion: )).
Pirin Blagoevgrad has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Fratria has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Fratria holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
Our forecast points to a victory for Fratria in today's match, at odds of 1.36.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Pirin Blagoevgrad has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:3 (averaging 0.3:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pirin Blagoevgrad against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals (averaging 0:0 per game).
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