Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Casatese		Pistoiese

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.40	1.78
	3.85	3.35	1.78
	4	3.57	1.78	Watch
	3.95	3.30	1.70
	4.17	3.55	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↑ (3.3)	3.43 ↓ (3.54)	1.77 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casatese
22.9%

Draw
26.3%

Pistoiese
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

26.2%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casatese's form might have worsened.

Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pistoiese's recent form is better than expected.

Casatese - Pistoiese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Luperini G. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Motti M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 0 - 3, Corazza S. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Serie D - Group D Playoffs and 1st in the Promotion).

Pistoiese is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Pistoiese carries the favorite tag into this contest.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Pistoiese	6	6	0	0	17:1	16	18
7	USD Casatese	6	3	1	2	10:9	1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Casatese
Italian Serie D - Group D
27.09.26	Casatese - Varesina	4:2 ✺
20.09.26	Correggese - Casatese	1:3 ✺
16.09.26	Casatese - SantAngelo	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Solbiatese - Casatese	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
17.05.26	Casatese - Chievo	2:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLTL
- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie D - Group D
27.09.26	Pistoiese - SantAngelo	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Varesina - Pistoiese	0:1 ✺
16.09.26	Pistoiese - Arconatese	5:0 ✺
13.09.26	Crema - Pistoiese	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.26	Pistoiese - Siena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWL

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