Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 23

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Platges de Calvià		Alcúdia

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.35	4.45
	1.08	7.78	25.00	Watch
	1.74	3.35	4.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.9)	4.83 ↑ (3.38)	11.28 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Platges de Calvià
69.2%

Draw
21.6%

Alcúdia
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

26.9%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

29.1%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Platges de Calvià has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Platges de Calvià's performance.

Alcúdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcúdia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platges de Calvià than the current prediction. (-17.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Platges de Calvià that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcúdia than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcúdia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Platges de Calvià - Alcúdia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platges de Calvià won 2.

Recent form of Platges de Calvià has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alcúdia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Platges de Calvià will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Platges de Calvià won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Platges de Calvià won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Platges de Calvia	5	3	0	2	9:5	4	9
11	Alcudia	5	2	0	3	10:11	-1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Platges de Calvià
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
15.02.26	Mallorca B - Platges de Calvià	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Constancia - Platges de Calvià	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Inter Ibiza - Platges de Calvià	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Platges de Calvià - Llosetense	2:3 ✺
10.01.26	Platges de Calvià - Cardassar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLLL
- UE Alcúdia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
15.02.26	Alcúdia - Formentera	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Inter Ibiza - Alcúdia	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Alcúdia - Llosetense	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Cardassar - Alcúdia	0:1 ✺
15.01.26	Alcúdia - Manacor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
22.10.25	Alcúdia - Platges de Calvià	1:0
11.05.25	Alcúdia - Platges de Calvià	6:3
12.01.25	Platges de Calvià - Alcúdia	1:1
10.04.24	Alcúdia - Platges de Calvià	1:2
18.11.23	Platges de Calvià - Alcúdia	1:0
27.03.21	Alcúdia - Platges de Calvià	1:1
03.01.21	Platges de Calvià - Alcúdia	3:1

Platges de Calvià - Alcúdia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide