Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 29

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Plauen		Chemnitzer

	1	X	2
	4.9	3.9	1.62
	4.42	3.96	1.64	Watch
	5.02	3.54	1.62
	4.9	3.9	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.81 ↓ (6.78)	3.83 ↓ (4.88)	1.63 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plauen
19.2%

Draw
24.1%

Chemnitzer
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.6%

18.9%

67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1%

18.2%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plauen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plauen's performance.

Chemnitzer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chemnitzer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plauen than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plauen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chemnitzer than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chemnitzer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Plauen - Chemnitzer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 0, Zickert R. (Own goal),
64', 1 - 1, Seidel F. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Plauen has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Chemnitzer is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Plauen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chemnitzer is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Plauen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:9 (average 1:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Plauen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:9 (average 1:4.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plauen
German Regionalliga Nordost
06.04.25	Greifswald - Plauen	3:0 ✺
02.04.25	Plauen - Babelsberg	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Plauen - Hertha Zehlendorf	0:1 ✺
25.03.25	Carl Zeiss Jena - Plauen	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Plauen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- Chemnitzer FC
German Regionalliga Nordost
09.04.25	Chemnitzer - Hertha Berlin II	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Chemnitzer - Luckenwalde	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Chemnitzer - Greifswald	2:2 ✺
16.03.25	Hertha Zehlendorf - Chemnitzer	1:0 ✺
11.03.25	Babelsberg - Chemnitzer	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
19.10.24	Chemnitzer - Plauen	0:1
Club Friendly
07.07.21	Plauen - Chemnitzer	1:1
28.06.19	Plauen - Chemnitzer	1:8

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