Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 19

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Chemnitzer		Luckenwalde

	1	X	2
	2	3.15	3.65
	1.99	3.1	4.5
	1.91	3.12	4.15
	1.94	2.9	4.15
	2	2.85	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.02)	3.02 ↓ (3.28)	4.16 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chemnitzer
47.1%

Draw
30.6%

Luckenwalde
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

27.8%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

27.3%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chemnitzer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Luckenwalde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chemnitzer than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luckenwalde than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Chemnitzer - Luckenwalde Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chemnitzer (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
12', 0 - 1, Schneider F. ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, Schneider F. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 3, Pollasch A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
63', 1 - 3, Bozic D. ⚽,
87', 2 - 3, Baumgart T. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chemnitzer won 3.

In recent matches, Chemnitzer has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Luckenwalde is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Luckenwalde has had a series of home games.

Chemnitzer might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Chemnitzer won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 1.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Chemnitzer won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 2.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chemnitzer FC
German Regionalliga Nordost
06.12.25	Greifswald - Chemnitzer	0:0 ✺
28.11.25	Chemnitzer - Berliner FC Dynamo	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Zwickau - Chemnitzer	4:0 ✺
07.11.25	Chemnitzer - Altglienicke	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Meuselwitz - Chemnitzer	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTLTW
- FSV 63 Luckenwalde
German Regionalliga Nordost
06.12.25	Luckenwalde - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:1 ✺
28.11.25	Luckenwalde - Meuselwitz	2:2 ✺
07.11.25	Luckenwalde - Hertha Berlin II	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Zwickau - Luckenwalde	3:0 ✺
24.10.25	Luckenwalde - Babelsberg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
02.08.25	Luckenwalde - Chemnitzer	2:1
06.04.25	Chemnitzer - Luckenwalde	2:0
05.10.24	Luckenwalde - Chemnitzer	0:2
06.04.24	Luckenwalde - Chemnitzer	1:2
20.10.23	Chemnitzer - Luckenwalde	1:2
02.04.23	Luckenwalde - Chemnitzer	0:0
16.10.22	Chemnitzer - Luckenwalde	2:0

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