Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 38

Date: 20 April 2023, Thursday


	Plymouth Parkway		North Leigh

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	2.65
	2.13	4.06	2.69
	2.15	3.82	2.78
	2.15	3.75	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.62)	3.81 ↓ (4)	2.71 ↓ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Parkway
42.6%

Draw
23.8%

North Leigh
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

22.7%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

22.2%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Parkway has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Plymouth Parkway's form might have worsened.

North Leigh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting North Leigh's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Plymouth Parkway, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Leigh than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for North Leigh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Plymouth Parkway - North Leigh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

North Leigh could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Plymouth Parkway have a series of home games.

In this match Plymouth Parkway is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Plymouth Parkway won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Parkway
English Southern League South Division
18.04.23	Plymouth Parkway - Winchester City	1:0 ✺
15.04.23	Hayes & Yeading United - Plymouth Parkway	2:1 ✺
12.04.23	Tiverton Town - Plymouth Parkway	1:1 ✺
10.04.23	Truro City - Plymouth Parkway	1:3 ✺
08.04.23	Plymouth Parkway - Hanwell Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLTWT
- North Leigh
English Southern League South Division
15.04.23	Beaconsfield Town - North Leigh	3:3 ✺
10.04.23	North Leigh - Swindon Supermarine	1:2 ✺
07.04.23	Poole Town - North Leigh	2:1 ✺
25.03.23	North Leigh - Weston-super-Mare	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	Salisbury - North Leigh	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
21.02.23	North Leigh - Plymouth Parkway	1:2
English FA Cup
17.09.22	North Leigh - Plymouth Parkway	2:3

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