Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 40

Date: 10 April 2023, Monday


	Truro City		Plymouth Parkway

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.9	4.33
	1.66	4.54	3.92
	1.6	3.94	4.85
	1.6	4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.41)	4.1 ↓ (4.5)	4.4 ↓ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
56.8%

Draw
22.4%

Plymouth Parkway
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

19.1%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Truro City's form might have worsened.

Plymouth Parkway has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Truro City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Plymouth Parkway, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Truro City - Plymouth Parkway Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Recent matches Truro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Plymouth Parkway is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Truro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Truro have a series of guest games.

In this match Truro is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Truro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English Southern League South Division
07.04.23	Harrow Borough - Truro City	1:4 ✺
01.04.23	Beaconsfield Town - Truro City	3:2 ✺
18.03.23	Bracknell Town - Truro City	0:3 ✺
11.03.23	Merthyr Town - Truro City	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Truro City - Hayes & Yeading United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWLW
- Plymouth Parkway
English Southern League South Division
08.04.23	Plymouth Parkway - Hanwell Town	1:1 ✺
05.04.23	Swindon Supermarine - Plymouth Parkway	3:0 ✺
21.03.23	Chesham United - Plymouth Parkway	4:0 ✺
18.03.23	Plymouth Parkway - Harrow Borough	4:0 ✺
14.03.23	Plymouth Parkway - Metropolitan Police	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
26.12.22	Plymouth Parkway - Truro City	3:3

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