Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Pniówek Pawłowice		Karkonosze Jelenia Góra

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.45	2.18
	2.68	3.06	2.58	Watch
	2.58	3.51	2.45	Watch
	2.8	3.33	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3.02)	3.34 ↓ (3.38)	2.35 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pniówek Pawłowice
33.7%

Draw
27.4%

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

26.9%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

26.6%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pniówek Pawłowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pniówek Pawłowice than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Pniówek Pawłowice - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Bezpalec M. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pniówek Pawłowice won 1.

Recent form of Pniówek Pawłowice has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Karkonosze's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pniówek Pawłowice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pniówek Pawłowice won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Pniówek Pawłowice won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Pniówek Pawłowice
Polish Division 3 - Group III
13.09.25	Skra Częstochowa - Pniówek Pawłowice	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Pniówek Pawłowice - Carina Gubin	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Starowice Dolne - Pniówek Pawłowice	1:0 ✺
27.08.25	Pniówek Pawłowice - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Pniówek Pawłowice - Stal Jasień	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLLTL
- Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III
12.09.25	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:2 ✺
07.09.25	Stal Jasień - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	3:2 ✺
31.08.25	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	2:1 ✺
27.08.25	Skra Częstochowa - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Carina Gubin - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
01.05.25	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Pniówek Pawłowice	1:0
05.10.24	Pniówek Pawłowice - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	4:0
25.11.23	Pniówek Pawłowice - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	2:3
05.08.23	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Pniówek Pawłowice	1:0
12.03.22	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Pniówek Pawłowice	2:1
14.08.21	Pniówek Pawłowice - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	3:1

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