Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 5

Date: 27 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Miejski Stadion Piłkarski MOSiR - artificial grass (Częstochowa)


	Skra Częstochowa		Karkonosze Jelenia Góra

	1	X	2
	2	3.7	2.85
	2.1	3.4	2.92
	2.13	3.38	2.94
	2.25	3.43	2.84	Watch
	2.03	3.55	3.14	Watch
	2	3.7	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.03)	3.53 ↓ (3.7)	2.92 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skra Częstochowa
43.4%

Draw
25.7%

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

24.6%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

23.8%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skra Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Skra Częstochowa aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Skra Częstochowa - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Sajdak P. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Golebiowski R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
71', 🟥,

Preview

Skra Częstochowa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Karkonosze has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Skra Częstochowa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Skra Częstochowa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 3 - Group III
24.08.25	Kluczbork - Skra Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Skra Częstochowa - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:3 ✺
09.08.25	Miedź Legnica 2 - Skra Częstochowa	2:2 ✺
Polish Cup
05.08.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Skra Częstochowa	3:1 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group III
02.08.25	Skra Częstochowa - Carina Gubin	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLTLT
- Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III
23.08.25	Carina Gubin - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Ślęza Wrocław	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Kluczbork - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	6:3 ✺
02.08.25	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Polkowice	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.25	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Varnsdorf	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTLLW

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