Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadion Goce Delčev (Prilep)


	Pobeda		AP Brera Strumica

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.25	1.7
	4.8	3.15	1.66
	4.93	3.1	1.7
	4.75	3.2	1.7
	4.55	3.4	1.71
	5	3.3	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.76 ↓ (5.6)	3.23 ↓ (3.33)	1.7 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pobeda
19%

Draw
27.9%

AP Brera Strumica
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16%

26.9%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

25.8%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pobeda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

AP Brera Strumica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pobeda than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AP Brera Strumica than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AP Brera Strumica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pobeda - AP Brera Strumica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 in the zone 1. MFL (Relegation) and 9 in the zone 1. MFL (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pobeda won 0.

Recent matches Pobeda is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Akademija Pandev is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pobeda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Akademija Pandev is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Pobeda won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Pobeda won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Pobeda
North Macedonian 1 MFL
09.10.22	Sileks - Pobeda	0:3 ✺
02.10.22	Pobeda - Shkendija Tetovo	1:3 ✺
17.09.22	Rabotnički - Pobeda	1:0 ✺
11.09.22	Pobeda - Bregalnica Štip	1:0 ✺
04.09.22	Skopje - Pobeda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WLLWL
- AP Brera Strumica
North Macedonian 1 MFL
09.10.22	AP Brera Strumica - Shkupi	0:1 ✺
17.09.22	AP Brera Strumica - Makedonija Gjorče Petrov	0:1 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
14.09.22	Teteks - AP Brera Strumica	0:6 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
11.09.22	Tikveš - AP Brera Strumica	2:1 ✺
04.09.22	AP Brera Strumica - Struga	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
08.05.19	AP Brera Strumica - Pobeda	4:0
30.04.19	Pobeda - AP Brera Strumica	1:3
North Macedonian Cup
10.04.19	Pobeda - AP Brera Strumica	1:3
06.03.19	AP Brera Strumica - Pobeda	3:1
North Macedonian 1 MFL
22.11.18	AP Brera Strumica - Pobeda	2:1
23.09.18	Pobeda - AP Brera Strumica	2:4
02.05.18	AP Brera Strumica - Pobeda	1:0

Pobeda - AP Brera Strumica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide