Match Info

NORTH MACEDONIA: 1. MFL - ROUND 24

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Goce Delčev (Prilep) 🌤️ ...


	Pobeda		Sileks

	1	X	2
	7	4.2	1.36
	5.4	3.6	1.46
	5.09	4.41	1.46
	5.95	4.05	1.49
	7.6	4.4	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.21 ↑ (5.15)	4.13 ↑ (3.6)	1.42 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pobeda
14.6%

Draw
21.9%

Sileks
63.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.5%

25%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

24.8%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pobeda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Sileks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sileks's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pobeda than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sileks than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sileks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. MFL and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pobeda won 2.

Pobeda has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sileks is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Sileks is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sileks to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Pobeda won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 10-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Pobeda won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Pobeda
North Macedonian 1 MFL
12.03.23	Bregalnica Štip - Pobeda	4:0 ✺
08.03.23	AP Brera Strumica - Pobeda	3:0 ✺
05.03.23	Pobeda - Sileks	1:4 ✺
26.02.23	Shkendija Tetovo - Pobeda	1:0 ✺
19.02.23	Pobeda - Rabotnički	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Sileks
North Macedonian 1 MFL
11.03.23	Sileks - Skopje	3:1 ✺
08.03.23	Sileks - Bregalnica Štip	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	Pobeda - Sileks	1:4 ✺
26.02.23	Sileks - Shkupi	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.02.23	Dynamo Kyiv - Sileks	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
05.03.23	Pobeda - Sileks	1:4
09.10.22	Sileks - Pobeda	0:3
27.04.19	Pobeda - Sileks	0:1
10.03.19	Sileks - Pobeda	1:0
04.11.18	Pobeda - Sileks	2:0
01.09.18	Sileks - Pobeda	0:0
13.05.18	Pobeda - Sileks	1:0

Pobeda - Sileks

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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