Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 16

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Pobeda Khasavyurt		Shakhtyor Taganrog

	1	X	2
	4.18	3.50	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↑ (3.74)	3.5 (3.5)	1.74 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pobeda Khasavyurt
21.8%

Draw
26%

Shakhtyor Taganrog
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

26.2%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

25.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pobeda Khasavyurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Shakhtyor Taganrog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pobeda Khasavyurt than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtyor Taganrog than the current prediction. (-2%)

Pobeda Khasavyurt - Shakhtyor Taganrog Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Ismailov A. ⚽,
11', 2 - 0, Salimov R. ⚽,
14', 3 - 0, Salimov R. ⚽,
27', 4 - 0, Bitarov T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
65', 4 - 1, Kozhukhar I. (Penalty Awarded),
84', 4 - 2, Suanov R. ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 3, Kozhukhar I. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2).

Pobeda is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shakhtyor Taganrog has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Shakhtyor Taganrog is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pobeda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Shahter Taganrog	25	15	5	5	47:25	22	50
4	FK Pobeda	24	13	3	8	46:32	14	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pobeda Khasavyurt
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
04.07.26	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Rostov 2	2:2 ✺
27.06.26	Zarya - Pobeda Khasavyurt	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Dinskaya	N/A ✺
13.06.26	FC Sevastopol - Pobeda Khasavyurt	2:1 ✺
06.06.26	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Chayka 2	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TW?LW
- Shakhtyor Taganrog
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
05.07.26	Dynamo Makhachkala 2 - Shakhtyor Taganrog	1:1 ✺
27.06.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - Neftyanik Izberbash	3:0 ✺
20.06.26	Nart Cherkessk - Shakhtyor Taganrog	1:1 ✺
13.06.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - Druzhba Maykop	0:1 ✺
06.06.26	Astrakhan - Shakhtyor Taganrog	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
30.05.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - Pobeda Khasavyurt	3:1

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