Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 12

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday


	FC Sevastopol		Pobeda Khasavyurt

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.25	11.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.4)	4.25 ↑ (3.72)	11.1 ↑ (8.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Sevastopol
70.4%

Draw
21.4%

Pobeda Khasavyurt
8.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

24.4%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

21.8%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Sevastopol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FC Sevastopol's performance.

Pobeda Khasavyurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Sevastopol than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FC Sevastopol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pobeda Khasavyurt than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

FC Sevastopol - Pobeda Khasavyurt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevastopol won 4.

In recent matches, Sevastopol has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pobeda is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Sevastopol is the obvious favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sevastopol won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sevastopol won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Sevastopol	24	19	2	3	44:18	26	59
4	FK Pobeda	24	13	3	8	46:32	14	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sevastopol
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
06.06.26	Nart Cherkessk - FC Sevastopol	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	FC Sevastopol - Druzhba Maykop	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Kyzyltash - FC Sevastopol	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	FC Sevastopol - Dinskaya	2:2 ✺
08.05.26	Rubin Yalta - FC Sevastopol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTWTL
- Pobeda Khasavyurt
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
06.06.26	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Chayka 2	4:0 ✺
30.05.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - Pobeda Khasavyurt	3:1 ✺
23.05.26	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Neftyanik Izberbash	7:0 ✺
16.05.26	Astrakhan - Pobeda Khasavyurt	1:3 ✺
08.05.26	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Dynamo Makhachkala 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
22.11.25	Pobeda Khasavyurt - FC Sevastopol	1:3
20.09.25	FC Sevastopol - Pobeda Khasavyurt	2:1
13.09.25	FC Sevastopol - Pobeda Khasavyurt	0:0
22.03.25	Pobeda Khasavyurt - FC Sevastopol	1:2
16.11.24	FC Sevastopol - Pobeda Khasavyurt	2:0
24.04.24	Pobeda Khasavyurt - FC Sevastopol	0:0
25.11.23	FC Sevastopol - Pobeda Khasavyurt	0:0

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