Match Info

MONTENEGRO: Montenegrin Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 November 2024, Wednesday

Location: DG Arena (Podgorica)


	Podgorica		Dečić Tuzi

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.75	1.62
	4.5	3.8	1.62	Watch
	4.61	3.74	1.63	Watch
	4.5	3.8	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.49 ↑ (4.08)	3.77 ↓ (4)	1.62 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podgorica
20.2%

Draw
24%

Dečić Tuzi
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

22.6%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

22.2%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podgorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Dečić Tuzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podgorica than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dečić Tuzi than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Podgorica - Dečić Tuzi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bobicic P. (G) 8. Adzibaba N. 3. Bracanovic D. 31. Bulatovic L. 30. Gazivoda S. 22. Jeknic V. 10. Pavlicevic N. 7. Prelevic P. 14. Radunovic K. 17. Vracar M. (C) 19. Vracar M.	25. Radosevic D. (G) 16. Bozanovic M. 7. Bozovic D. 22. Dresaj J. (C) 3. Gjelaj R. 10. Kajevic A. 15. Ljuljdjuraj P. 12. Masovic A. 50. Matic B. 4. Milic S. 77. Strikovic V.
Substitutes
12. Babovic F. (G) 32. Batrovic O. 29. Becic D. 20. Cetkovic P. 9. Kopitovic B. 61. Krkotic M. 28. Piperovic U. 15. Popovic R. 11. Radivojevic M.	55. Asovic A. 14. Bajovic A. 21. Camaj A. (G) 9. Camaj I. 8. Chagas C. 6. Malesevic L. 18. Maras L. 11. Puleio I. 33. Stijepovic O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Bracanovic D. 🟨,
19', Radunovic K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Masovic A. ↓, Stijepovic O. ↑,
46', Strikovic V. ↓, Puleio I. ↑,
53', Gazivoda S. ↓, Kopitovic B. ↑,
53', Bozanovic M. ↓, Bajovic A. ↑,
72', Matic B. ↓, Camaj I. ↑,
75', 🟨,
79', Radunovic K. ↓, Krkotic M. ↑,
83', Bobicic P. 🟨,
90+1', Vracar M. ↓, Batrovic O. ↑,
90+2', Camaj I. ↓, Chagas C. ↑,
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, (Pen),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Podgorica won 1.

Recent matches Podgorica is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dečić is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Podgorica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dečić is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Podgorica won 8 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 30:21 (average 1.5:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Podgorica won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:8 (average 1.6:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Podgorica
Montenegrin Druga Liga
23.11.24	Grbalj Radanovici - Podgorica	1:0 ✺
16.11.24	Podgorica - Mladost Donja Gorica	0:2 ✺
09.11.24	Lovćen - Podgorica	1:4 ✺
Montenegrin Cup
06.11.24	Arsenal Tivat - Podgorica	1:4 ✺
Montenegrin Druga Liga
03.11.24	Podgorica - Iskra Danilovgrad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 LLWWT
- FK Dečić Tuzi
Montenegrin First League
23.11.24	Dečić Tuzi - Petrovac	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Dečić Tuzi - Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	4:0 ✺
Montenegrin Cup
06.11.24	Jezero - Dečić Tuzi	0:2 ✺
Montenegrin First League
02.11.24	Jezero - Dečić Tuzi	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Dečić Tuzi - Otrant	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Montenegrin Cup
26.10.22	Dečić Tuzi - Podgorica	2:0
Montenegrin First League
24.05.22	Dečić Tuzi - Podgorica	1:2
02.04.22	Podgorica - Dečić Tuzi	3:3
05.12.21	Dečić Tuzi - Podgorica	2:2
25.09.21	Podgorica - Dečić Tuzi	1:1
14.05.21	Dečić Tuzi - Podgorica	0:1
14.03.21	Podgorica - Dečić Tuzi	0:3

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