Match Info

Division 2 - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Mijeski im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Nowy Targ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Podhale Nowy Targ		Zagłębie Sosnowiec

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	2.65
	2.22	3.4	2.72	Watch
	2.24	3.43	3
	1.37	4.29	8.83	Watch
	2.24	3.36	2.81	Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.48)	3.51 ↑ (3.3)	3.75 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podhale Nowy Targ
45.8%

Draw
28%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

27.3%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

26.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podhale Nowy Targ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Podhale Nowy Targ's performance.

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zagłębie Sosnowiec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Podhale Nowy Targ that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zagłębie Sosnowiec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Podhale Nowy Targ - Zagłębie Sosnowiec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Styrczula M. (G) 20. Chojecki A. 87. Kurzeja B. 29. Marcinho 19. Michota M. 11. Purcha B. 16. Rubis J. 2. Salak K. 7. Seweryn L. 8. Vaclavik R. 21. Vosko P.	1. Kabala M. (G) 10. Agbor E. 27. Borun B. 37. Gryszkiewicz A. 4. Kurtovic R. 21. Matras M. (C) 45. Pawlowski J. 92. Rakels D. 9. Shikavka Y. 43. Szot D. 77. Zawojski B.
Substitutes
77. Cielemecki R. 33. Fratczak D. (G) 99. Giel P. 15. Herman F. 30. Kumorek M. 42. Lipien M. 4. Mikolajczyk B. 9. Niedzialkowski M. 27. Pena C.	18. Bazler M. 23. Checinski B. 22. Dziedzic I. 19. Mucha P. 7. Ronnberg L. 87. Siuta K. (G) 17. Skora K. 11. Snopczynski B. 16. Wasiluk B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Purcha B. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Shikavka Y. ⚽,
40', Gryszkiewicz A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Borun B. ↓, Ronnberg L. ↑,
67', Zawojski B. ↓, Bazler M. ↑,
67', Agbor E. ↓, Skora K. ↑,
71', Purcha B. ↓, Pena C. ↑,
71', Rubis J. ↓, Mikolajczyk B. ↑,
72', Kurtovic R. 🟨,
78', Marcinho ↓, Giel P. ↑,
79', Pawlowski J. 🟨,
80', Rakels D. ↓, Mucha P. ↑,
84', Gryszkiewicz A. ↓, Checinski B. ↑,
90+4', Checinski B. 🟨,

Preview

Podhale has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NKP Podhale Nowy Targ
Polish Division 2
17.08.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:1 ✺
01.08.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - GKS Jastrzębie	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.25	Tatran Liptovský Mikuláš - Podhale Nowy Targ	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWTWL
- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 2
16.08.25	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Unia Skierniewice	0:3 ✺
Polish Cup
05.08.25	Hutnik - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	3:0 ✺
Polish Division 2
02.08.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Resovia Rzeszów	1:5 ✺
27.07.25	Sokół Kleczew - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLLW

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