Match Info

3. SNL - East - Round 25

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Podvinci		Šmartno

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.99	1.88
	3.08	3.84	1.95	Watch
	3	3.4	1.95
	3.14	3.9	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	3.78 ↑ (3.71)	1.92 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podvinci
29.3%

Draw
23.8%

Šmartno
46.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.2%

24.4%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

24.1%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podvinci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Šmartno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podvinci than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Šmartno than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Podvinci - Šmartno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Podvinci won 2.

Recent form of Podvinci has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Šmartno has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Šmartno may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Šmartno is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Podvinci won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 2.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Podvinci won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	NK Smartno	11	6	1	4	27:28	-1	19
6	Podvinci	11	5	2	4	18:20	-2	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Podvinci
Slovenian 3 SNL East
09.05.26	Brežice - Podvinci	3:1 ✺
30.04.26	Podvinci - Zavrč	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Rače - Podvinci	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Podvinci - Čarda Martjanci	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Podvinci - Fužinar Ravne	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWL
- NK Šmartno
Slovenian 3 SNL East
10.05.26	Šmartno - Fužinar Ravne	5:0 ✺
03.05.26	Videm - Šmartno	5:2 ✺
26.04.26	Šmartno - Dobrovce	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Ljutomer - Šmartno	4:2 ✺
29.03.26	Šmartno - Hajdina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 3 SNL East
31.10.25	Šmartno - Podvinci	0:0
09.11.24	Podvinci - Šmartno	3:3
24.03.24	Šmartno - Podvinci	2:0
09.09.23	Podvinci - Šmartno	3:0
19.03.23	Šmartno - Podvinci	1:7
27.08.22	Podvinci - Šmartno	1:0
15.08.21	Šmartno - Podvinci	2:2

Podvinci - Šmartno