Match Info
Serie D - Group E - Round 8Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday
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Poggibonsi |
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San Donato Tavarnelle |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.61 |
2.94 |
2.70 |
Watch |
 |
2.59 |
2.99 |
2.57 |
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2.6 |
2.98 |
2.57 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.6 ↑ (2.5) |
2.97 ↓ (3) |
2.61 ↓ (2.75) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Poggibonsi 34.8% | Draw 30.5% | San Donato Tavarnelle 34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Poggibonsi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)San Donato Tavarnelle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poggibonsi than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Donato Tavarnelle than the current prediction. (-2.5%)Poggibonsi - San Donato Tavarnelle Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 43', 0 - 1, Gistri P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).Poggibonsi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).San Donato's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poggibonsi won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Poggibonsi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group E | | | 13.10.24 | Poggibonsi - San Donato Tavarnelle | 2:1 | | 03.03.24 | San Donato Tavarnelle - Poggibonsi | 2:0 | | 28.10.23 | Poggibonsi - San Donato Tavarnelle | 1:0 | | 27.04.22 | Poggibonsi - San Donato Tavarnelle | 1:2 | | 12.12.21 | San Donato Tavarnelle - Poggibonsi | 1:2 |
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