The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pogoń Szczecin 42.5%
Draw 28%
Korona Kielce 29.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.1%
29.4%
28.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.8%
28.3%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Pogoń Szczecin - Korona Kielce Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 5th and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Korona may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Pogoń Szczecin is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Pogoń Szczecin has recorded 8 wins, 9 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:17 (averaging 1.3:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pogoń Szczecin against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 18:7 goals (averaging 1.6:0.6 per game).
Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now
Pogon Szczecin: 5.55% Korona Kielce: 1.7%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Pogon Szczecin
8
4
3
1
12:6
6
15
6
Korona Kielce
9
4
3
2
12:10
2
15
Last Results with these Odds
Pogoń Szczecin - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 42.1%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Korona Kielce - the odds 3.29 are the expected chance of winning is 28.52%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.