Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 7

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday


	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce		Wda Świecie

	1	X	2
	1.58	4.65	3.8
	1.63	4.8	3.93	Watch
	1.59	4.7	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.95)	4.72 ↑ (3.75)	3.86 ↑ (3)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
57%

Draw
19.3%

Wda Świecie
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

24%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

23.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce's performance.

Wda Świecie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wda Świecie might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wda Świecie than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wda Świecie could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Wda Świecie Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Wda Świecie (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wda Świecie (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 0 - 1, Majka T. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Wda Świecie may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nowe Skalmierzyce is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nowe Skalmierzyce won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Nowe Skalmierzyce won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
Polish Division 3 - Group II
30.08.25	Września - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:3 ✺
27.08.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Elana Toruń	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	0:0 ✺
15.08.25	Unia Swarzędz - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Kluczevia Stargard	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTTWL
- Wda Świecie
Polish Division 3 - Group II
31.08.25	Wda Świecie - Cartusia Kartuzy	0:4 ✺
27.08.25	Kluczevia Stargard - Wda Świecie	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Wda Świecie - Unia Swarzędz	0:3 ✺
16.08.25	Lipno Stęszew - Wda Świecie	2:2 ✺
09.08.25	Wda Świecie - Września	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
29.03.25	Wda Świecie - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	2:1
31.08.24	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Wda Świecie	1:1

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