Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 10

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo		Września

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.55	2.92
	2.04	3.57	2.97
	1.51	4.14	5.43	Watch
	2.08	3.74	3.01	Watch
	2.42	3.5	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.35)	3.7 ↑ (3.47)	3.35 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
46.5%

Draw
25.4%

Września
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

25.8%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

26.3%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tłuchowia Tłuchowo's performance.

Września has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Września might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tłuchowia Tłuchowo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Września than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Września could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Września Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Donavan ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Kolbus J. 🟥,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Tłuchowia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Września has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Polish Division 3 - Group II
20.09.25	Kluczevia Stargard - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:4 ✺
06.09.25	Lipno Stęszew - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Unia Swarzędz	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Noteć Czarnków	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLWLT
- FC Września
Polish Division 3 - Group II
20.09.25	Września - Pogoń Szczecin II	2:3 ✺
12.09.25	Noteć Czarnków - Września	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Września - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Września - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:3 ✺
27.08.25	Września - Flota Świnoujście	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLLL

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