Match Info

EUROPE: UEFA Nations League - League A - Round 5

Date: 15 November 2024, Friday

Location: Estádio do Dragão (Porto)

Referee: Rumsas D. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Meraj Sport, Meraj TV, Solh TV
Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3, Moja TV
Brazil	SporTV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Cambodia	CNC, MyTV
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	Free, L'Equipe, Molotov TV
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 3, ART Sport 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 3, TVWan
North-central-america	Csport Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	ESPN
Poland	TVP 1, TVP Sport
Portugal	RTP 1, RTP, Sport TV1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1
Usa	Tubi TV
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, VIX App


	Portugal		Poland

	1	X	2
	1.25	6	12
	1.25	6	10
	1.25	6.2	11
	1.25	6.44	12.16
	1.24	6.67	12.51	Watch
	1.2	6.5	11
	1.25	7.03	13.3	Watch
	1.25	6.2	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.35)	6.38 ↑ (5.27)	11.62 ↑ (8.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portugal
76.8%

Draw
15%

Poland
8.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.9%

18.1%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portugal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portugal's performance.

Poland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.4%	9.8%	11.8%

Portugal - Poland Predictions

Users Predictions: Portugal will win (40 of 50 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.91% – 91.09%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Costa D. (G) FC Porto 5. Dalot D. Manchester United 4. Silva A. Benfica 13. Veiga R. Chelsea 19. Mendes N. PSG 10. Silva B. Manchester City 15. Neves J. PSG 8. Fernandes B. Manchester United 18. Neto P. Chelsea 7. Ronaldo C. (C) Al Nassr 17. Leao R. AC Milan	12. Bulka M. (G) Nice 2. Piatkowski K. Salzburg 5. Bednarek J. Southampton 14. Kiwior J. Arsenal 18. Bereszynski B. Sampdoria 9. Bogusz M. Los Angeles FC 3. Romanczuk T. Jagiellonia 10. Zielinski P. (C) Inter 21. Zalewski N. AS Roma 23. Piatek K. Basaksehir 7. Urbanski K. Bologna
Substitutes
3. Araujo T. Benfica 20. Cancelo J. Al Hilal 21. Conceicao F. Juventus 11. Joao Felix Chelsea 16. Otavio Al Nassr 12. Sa J. (G) Wolves 6. Samu Costa Mallorca 2. Semedo N. Wolves 22. Silva R. (G) Betis 14. Tavares N. Lazio 9. Trincao Sporting Lisbon 23. Vitinha PSG	16. Buksa A. Midtjylland 22. Dragowski B. (G) Panathinaikos 13. Kaminski J. Wolfsburg 17. Kozubal A. Lech Poznan 19. Marczuk D. Real Salt Lake 8. Moder J. Brighton 15. Puchacz T. Holstein Kiel 1. Skorupski L. (G) Bologna 6. Slisz B. Atlanta United 4. Walukiewicz S. Torino
Coaches
Martinez R.	Probierz M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Neves J. 🟨,
25', Fernandes B. 🟨,
32', Bereszynski B. ↓, Kaminski J. ↑,
45+2', Ronaldo C. 🟨,
2nd Half (5 - 1)
46', Bednarek J. ↓, Walukiewicz S. ↑,
46', Bogusz M. ↓, Marczuk D. ↑,
46', Neves J. ↓, Vitinha ↑,
56', Bulka M. 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Leao R. ⚽, Mendes N. (A),
72', 2 - 0, Ronaldo C. (Pen),
72', Urbanski K. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
76', Silva B. ↓, Samu Costa ↑,
80', 3 - 0, Fernandes B. ⚽, Vitinha (A),
80', Piatek K. ↓, Kozubal A. ↑,
83', 4 - 0, Neto P. ⚽, Ronaldo C. (A),
83', Leao R. ↓, Joao Felix ↑,
83', Neto P. ↓, Trincao ↑,
87', 5 - 0, Ronaldo C. ⚽, Vitinha (A),
88', 5 - 1, Marczuk D. ⚽,
90', Mendes N. ↓, Tavares N. ↑,
90+2', Tavares N. 🟨,

Preview

In this match Portugal is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portugal won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portugal
UEFA Nations League
15.10.24	Scotland - Portugal	0:0 ✺
12.10.24	Poland - Portugal	1:3 ✺
08.09.24	Portugal - Scotland	2:1 ✺
05.09.24	Portugal - Croatia	2:1 ✺
UEFA Euro
05.07.24	Portugal - France	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWWWL
- Poland
UEFA Nations League
15.10.24	Poland - Croatia	3:3 ✺
12.10.24	Poland - Portugal	1:3 ✺
08.09.24	Croatia - Poland	1:0 ✺
05.09.24	Scotland - Poland	2:3 ✺
UEFA Euro
25.06.24	France - Poland	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
12.10.24	Poland - Portugal	1:3
20.11.18	Portugal - Poland	1:1
11.10.18	Poland - Portugal	2:3
UEFA Euro
30.06.16	Poland - Portugal	1:2 penalties
Friendly
29.02.12	Poland - Portugal	0:0

Portugal - Poland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide