Match Info

Euro Women - Round 3

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Swissporarena (Luzern) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Olmedo O. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	05:00	Optus Sport, Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	ORF On
Belgium	21:00	Ketnet, RTBF Auvio Direct
Brazil	16:00	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV
Canada	15:00	TSN 2, TSN 4, TSN+
Chile	15:00	Disney+
China	03:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:00	Disney+
Czech Republic	21:00	CT sport Plus
Denmark	21:00	TV3, Viaplay
Finland	22:00	YLE Areena
France	21:00	Free, Molotov TV, TFX
Georgia	23:00	1TV, 1TV Player
Germany	21:00	DAZN Deutsch, ZDF SPORTextra
Greece	22:00	ERT 3
Hong Kong	03:00	HOY TV
Iceland	19:00	RUV 2
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	20:00	RTE News, RTE Player
Israel	22:00	Sport 3
Kosovo	21:00	RTK 1
Lithuania	22:00	LRT TV
Malta	21:00	TVM Sport+
Mexico	13:00	Disney+
Moldova	22:00	TVR Moldova
Netherlands	21:00	Canal+, NPO 3, Sporza
Nigeria	20:00	Supersport Maximo 1
North Macedonia	21:00	MRT 1
Norway	21:00	NRK 1, NRK TV, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Poland	21:00	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 1, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV2
Romania	22:00	TVR+, TVR Sport
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	RTVE Play
Sweden	21:00	TV10, Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF Info, SRF Info, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	22:00	Tabii, TRT Spor
United Kingdom	20:00	ITV 1, ITV 4, ITV X, STV, STV Player, UTV
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, TUDN App, TUDN
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+
International	19:00	Sport 24 Extra


	Poland W		Denmark W

	1	X	2
	7	5	1.4
	5.5	4.6	1.49
	6.1	4.75	1.41
	6.44	5.05	1.44
				Watch
	4.8	4.2	1.57
	7.44	5.05	1.4
	5	4.5	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.04 ↑ (5.3)	4.74 ↓ (4.76)	1.47 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poland W
15.7%

Draw
20%

Denmark W
64.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.7%

19.7%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poland W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Denmark W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	8.3%	86.1%

Poland W - Denmark W Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Poland (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Denmark (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Denmark W will win (31 of 36 users predict this - 86.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.81% – 97.41%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Denmark W will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Poland (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Denmark (votes: 19 - 90.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Szemik K. (G) West Ham 6. Matysik S. Koln 13. Szymczak E. Barcelona 5. Wos O. Basel 3. Zieniewicz W. Basel 23. Achcinska A. Koln 11. Pawollek T. Eintracht Frankfurt 8. Kamczyk E. Fleury 91 19. Padilla N. Bayern Munich 9. Pajor E. (C) Barcelona 21. Tomasiak P. Leczna	1. Ostergaard M. (G) Vaxjo DFF 4. Faerge E. Fiorentina 3. Ballisager S. Fiorentina 11. Veje K. Crystal Palace 15. Thogersen F. AS Roma 13. Hasbo J. Gotham FC 12. Kuhl K. AS Roma 18. Holmgaard S. Everton 19. Thomsen J. Utah Royals 20. Bruun S. Real Madrid 10. Harder P. (C) Bayern Munich
Substitutes
20. Adamek K. 4. Dudek P. PSG 14. Grabowska D. Hoffenheim 16. Jedlinska K. Dijon 15. Kokosz M. Asane 18. Krezyman N. Dijon 7. Mesjasz M. AC Milan 12. Radkiewicz N. (G) Pogon Szczecin 22. Seweryn K. (G) GKS Katowice 17. Slowinska K. GKS Katowice 2. Wiankowska M. Koln 10. Zawistowska W. Bayern Munich	14. Bredgaard S. Fiorentina 6. Holmgaard K. Everton 23. Kramer C. Bayer Leverkusen 16. Larsen K. (G) Sampdoria 17. Madsen R. Everton 9. Nadim N. AC Milan 5. Obaze I. Portland Thorns FC 2. Thrige S. PSV 7. Troelsgaard S. AS Roma 21. Vangsgaard A. Juventus 22. Vingum A. (G) Koge
Coaches
Patalon N.	Jeglertz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Padilla N. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Pajor E. ⚽, Padilla N. (A),
25', Harder P. ↓, Bredgaard S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', Tomasiak P. ↓, Kokosz M. ↑,
58', Matysik S. ↓, Wiankowska M. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Thomsen J. ⚽, Bredgaard S. (A),
62', Hasbo J. ↓, Holmgaard K. ↑,
62', Holmgaard S. ↓, Nadim N. ↑,
66', Achcinska A. ↓, Jedlinska K. ↑,
76', 3 - 1, Wiankowska M. ⚽, Padilla N. (A),
79', Pawollek T. 🟨,
80', Nadim N. 🟨,
82', Kamczyk E. ↓, Slowinska K. ↑,
82', Thogersen F. ↓, Vangsgaard A. ↑,
83', 3 - 2, Bruun S. ⚽, Veje K. (A),

Preview

In recent matches, Poland has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In this match, Denmark is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Poland won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:6. (average 0:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poland W
UEFA Euro Women
08.07.25	Poland W - Sweden W	0:3 ✺
04.07.25	Germany W - Poland W	2:0 ✺
Friendly International Women
27.06.25	Poland W - Ukraine W	4:0 ✺
UEFA Nations League Women
03.06.25	Poland W - Romania W	3:0 ✺
30.05.25	Northern Ireland W - Poland W	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWWW
- Denmark W
UEFA Euro Women
08.07.25	Germany W - Denmark W	2:1 ✺
04.07.25	Denmark W - Sweden W	0:1 ✺
UEFA Nations League Women
03.06.25	Sweden W - Denmark W	6:1 ✺
30.05.25	Denmark W - Wales W	1:0 ✺
08.04.25	Denmark W - Italy W	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro Women
07.06.16	Denmark W - Poland W	6:0
07.04.16	Poland W - Denmark W	0:0

Poland W - Denmark W