Match Info

Euro Women - Round 3

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Swissporarena (Luzern)

Referee: Olmedo O. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport, Stan Sport
Austria	ORF On
Belgium	Ketnet, RTBF Auvio Direct
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV
Canada	TSN 2, TSN 4, TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Denmark	TV3, Viaplay
Finland	YLE Areena
France	Free, Molotov TV, TFX
Georgia	1TV, 1TV Player
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, ZDF SPORTextra
Greece	ERT 3
Hong-kong	HOY TV
Iceland	RUV 2
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	RTE News, RTE Player
Israel	Sport 3
Kosovo	RTK 1
Lithuania	LRT TV
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mexico	Disney+
Moldova	TVR Moldova
Netherlands	Canal+, NPO 3, Sporza
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1
North-macedonia	MRT 1
Norway	NRK 1, NRK TV, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Peru	Disney+
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 1, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	TVR+, TVR Sport
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	RTVE Play
Sweden	TV10, Viaplay
Switzerland	Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF Info, SRF Info, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Tabii, TRT Spor
United-kingdom	ITV 1, ITV 4, ITV X, STV, STV Player, UTV
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, TUDN App, TUDN
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Sport 24 Extra


	Poland W		Denmark W

	1	X	2
	7	5	1.4
	5.5	4.6	1.49
	6.1	4.75	1.41
	6.44	5.05	1.44
				Watch
	4.8	4.2	1.57
	7.44	5.05	1.4
	5	4.5	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.04 ↑ (5.3)	4.74 ↓ (4.76)	1.47 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poland W
15.7%

Draw
20%

Denmark W
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

19.7%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poland W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Denmark W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	8.3%	86.1%

Poland W - Denmark W Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Poland (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Denmark (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Denmark W will win (31 of 36 users predict this - 86.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.81% – 97.41%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Denmark W will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Poland (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Denmark (votes: 19 - 90.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Szemik K. (G) West Ham 6. Matysik S. Koln 13. Szymczak E. Barcelona 5. Wos O. Basel 3. Zieniewicz W. Basel 23. Achcinska A. Koln 11. Pawollek T. Eintracht Frankfurt 8. Kamczyk E. Fleury 91 19. Padilla N. Bayern Munich 9. Pajor E. (C) Barcelona 21. Tomasiak P. Leczna	1. Ostergaard M. (G) Vaxjo DFF 4. Faerge E. Fiorentina 3. Ballisager S. Fiorentina 11. Veje K. Crystal Palace 15. Thogersen F. AS Roma 13. Hasbo J. Gotham FC 12. Kuhl K. AS Roma 18. Holmgaard S. Everton 19. Thomsen J. Utah Royals 20. Bruun S. Real Madrid 10. Harder P. (C) Bayern Munich
Substitutes
20. Adamek K. 4. Dudek P. PSG 14. Grabowska D. Hoffenheim 16. Jedlinska K. Dijon 15. Kokosz M. Asane 18. Krezyman N. Dijon 7. Mesjasz M. AC Milan 12. Radkiewicz N. (G) Pogon Szczecin 22. Seweryn K. (G) GKS Katowice 17. Slowinska K. GKS Katowice 2. Wiankowska M. Koln 10. Zawistowska W. Bayern Munich	14. Bredgaard S. Fiorentina 6. Holmgaard K. Everton 23. Kramer C. Bayer Leverkusen 16. Larsen K. (G) Sampdoria 17. Madsen R. Everton 9. Nadim N. AC Milan 5. Obaze I. Portland Thorns FC 2. Thrige S. PSV 7. Troelsgaard S. AS Roma 21. Vangsgaard A. Juventus 22. Vingum A. (G) Koge
Coaches
Patalon N.	Jeglertz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Padilla N. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Pajor E. ⚽, Padilla N. (A),
25', Harder P. ↓, Bredgaard S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', Tomasiak P. ↓, Kokosz M. ↑,
58', Matysik S. ↓, Wiankowska M. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Thomsen J. ⚽, Bredgaard S. (A),
62', Hasbo J. ↓, Holmgaard K. ↑,
62', Holmgaard S. ↓, Nadim N. ↑,
66', Achcinska A. ↓, Jedlinska K. ↑,
76', 3 - 1, Wiankowska M. ⚽, Padilla N. (A),
79', Pawollek T. 🟨,
80', Nadim N. 🟨,
82', Kamczyk E. ↓, Slowinska K. ↑,
82', Thogersen F. ↓, Vangsgaard A. ↑,
83', 3 - 2, Bruun S. ⚽, Veje K. (A),

Preview

In recent matches, Poland has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In this match, Denmark is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Poland won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:6. (average 0:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poland W
UEFA Euro Women
08.07.25	Poland W - Sweden W	0:3 ✺
04.07.25	Germany W - Poland W	2:0 ✺
Friendly International Women
27.06.25	Poland W - Ukraine W	4:0 ✺
UEFA Nations League Women
03.06.25	Poland W - Romania W	3:0 ✺
30.05.25	Northern Ireland W - Poland W	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWWW
- Denmark W
UEFA Euro Women
08.07.25	Germany W - Denmark W	2:1 ✺
04.07.25	Denmark W - Sweden W	0:1 ✺
UEFA Nations League Women
03.06.25	Sweden W - Denmark W	6:1 ✺
30.05.25	Denmark W - Wales W	1:0 ✺
08.04.25	Denmark W - Italy W	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro Women
07.06.16	Denmark W - Poland W	6:0
07.04.16	Poland W - Denmark W	0:0

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