Match Info

Euro Women - Round 2

Date: 8 July 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: St. Jakob-Park (Basel) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Caputi M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	21:00	RTSH Sport
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	23:00	1TV
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	05:00	Optus Sport, Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	ORF On, ORF Sport+, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	21:00	BNT News App, RTBF Auvio Direct, RTBF Tipik, VRT Canvas
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	BHT 1
Brazil	16:00	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV
Bulgaria	22:00	BNT 3
Canada	15:00	TSN 4, TSN+
Chile	15:00	Disney+
China	03:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Cyprus	22:00	RIK 1
Czech Republic	21:00	CT sport
Denmark	21:00	TV3+, Viaplay
Estonia	22:00	ETV 2
Finland	22:00	YLE TV2
France	21:00	Free, Molotov TV, TFX
Georgia	23:00	1TV, 1TV Player
Germany	21:00	ARD, Das Erste, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	22:00	ERT 2
Hong Kong	03:00	HOY TV
Iceland	19:00	RUV
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	20:00	RTE 2, RTE Player
Israel	22:00	Sport 2
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	RTK 1
Latvia	22:00	LTV 7
Lithuania	22:00	LRT Plius
Malta	21:00	TVM Sport+
Mexico	13:00	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	22:00	TVR Moldova
Netherlands	21:00	Canal+, NPO 1, Sporza
North Macedonia	21:00	MRT 1, MRT Play
Norway	21:00	NRK 1, NRK Sport, NRK TV
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Poland	21:00	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 1, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV1
Romania	22:00	TVR+, TVR Sport
Serbia	21:00	RTS 2
Slovenia	21:00	Slovenia TV2
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport Football
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	21:00	RTVE Play, Teledeporte
Sweden	21:00	SVT Play, Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	22:00	Tabii, TRT Spor
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Radio 5 Live Extra, BBC Sport
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	FOX Network, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+


	Poland W		Sweden W

	1	X	2
	9.5	5.75	1.27
	10.5	6	1.25
	9.4	5.5	1.26	Watch
	10.85	6.09	1.28
				Watch
	10	5	1.25
	11.3	6.04	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.26 ↓ (13.35)	5.73 ↓ (6.56)	1.27 ↑ (1.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poland W
9.2%

Draw
16.4%

Sweden W
74.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

14.3%

78.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poland W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Sweden W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.7%	3.2%	87.1%

Poland W - Sweden W Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Poland will win (votes: 3 - 10.3%). Sweden will win (votes: 25 - 86.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sweden: 73.6% – 98.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Poland (3.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (1.53) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

AH -1.5 - Sweden (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sweden W will win (13 of 17 users predict this - 76.47%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Poland (votes: 4 - 20%). Sweden (votes: 14 - 70%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Szemik K. (G) West Ham 6. Matysik S. Koln 13. Szymczak E. Barcelona 5. Wos O. Basel 2. Wiankowska M. Koln 23. Achcinska A. Koln 11. Pawollek T. Eintracht Frankfurt 14. Grabowska D. Hoffenheim 18. Krezyman N. Dijon 9. Pajor E. (C) Barcelona 21. Tomasiak P. Leczna	12. Falk J. (G) Hacken 4. Lundkvist H. San Diego Wave 14. Bjorn N. Chelsea 13. Ilestedt A. Arsenal 5. Nilden A. Tottenham 16. Angeldal F. Real Madrid 9. Asllani K. (C) London City Lionesses 15. Zigiotti Olme J. Bayern Munich 19. Kaneryd J. Chelsea 11. Blackstenius S. Arsenal 7. Janogy M. Fiorentina
Substitutes
20. Adamek K. 4. Dudek P. PSG 16. Jedlinska K. Dijon 8. Kamczyk E. Fleury 91 15. Kokosz M. Asane 7. Mesjasz M. AC Milan 19. Padilla N. Bayern Munich 12. Radkiewicz N. (G) Pogon Szczecin 22. Seweryn K. (G) GKS Katowice 17. Slowinska K. GKS Katowice 10. Zawistowska W. Bayern Munich 3. Zieniewicz W. Basel	2. Andersson J. Linkoping 20. Bennison H. Juventus 23. Blomqvist R. 21. Enblom T. (G) Valerenga 6. Eriksson M. Bayern Munich 22. Holmberg S. Hammarby 1. Holmgren E. (G) Levante 8. Hurtig L. Fiorentina 10. Jakobsson S. London City Lionesses 18. Rolfo F. Barcelona 3. Sembrant L. Bayern Munich 17. Wangerheim E. Hammarby
Coaches
Patalon N.	Gerhardsson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Blackstenius S. ⚽, Asllani K. (A),
30', Asllani K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Grabowska D. ↓, Kamczyk E. ↑,
46', Krezyman N. ↓, Padilla N. ↑,
46', Nilden A. ↓, Andersson J. ↑,
52', 0 - 2, Asllani K. ⚽, Kaneryd J. (A),
68', Asllani K. ↓, Hurtig L. ↑,
68', Zigiotti Olme J. ↓, Bennison H. ↑,
71', Wiankowska M. ↓, Zieniewicz W. ↑,
77', Janogy M. ↓, Rolfo F. ↑,
77', 0 - 3, Hurtig L. ⚽, Andersson J. (A),
78', Tomasiak P. ↓, Zawistowska W. ↑,
78', Achcinska A. ↓, Kokosz M. ↑,
85', Blackstenius S. ↓, Wangerheim E. ↑,
89', Szymczak E. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, Sweden is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poland won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:17. (average 0.4:3.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poland W
UEFA Euro Women
04.07.25	Germany W - Poland W	2:0 ✺
Friendly International Women
27.06.25	Poland W - Ukraine W	4:0 ✺
UEFA Nations League Women
03.06.25	Poland W - Romania W	3:0 ✺
30.05.25	Northern Ireland W - Poland W	0:4 ✺
08.04.25	Bosnia and Herzegovina W - Poland W	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWWT
- Sweden W
UEFA Euro Women
04.07.25	Denmark W - Sweden W	0:1 ✺
Friendly International Women
26.06.25	Norway W - Sweden W	0:2 ✺
UEFA Nations League Women
03.06.25	Sweden W - Denmark W	6:1 ✺
30.05.25	Italy W - Sweden W	0:0 ✺
08.04.25	Sweden W - Wales W	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Women
13.04.21	Poland W - Sweden W	2:4
UEFA Euro Women
02.06.16	Poland W - Sweden W	0:4
22.09.15	Sweden W - Poland W	3:0
FIFA World Cup Women
21.08.14	Poland W - Sweden W	0:4
21.09.13	Sweden W - Poland W	2:0

Poland W - Sweden W