Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 11

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday


	Police		Nouadhibou

	1	X	2
	10.07	3.81	1.37	Watch
	11	3.5	1.36
	11.1	3.74	1.34
	9	3.66	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.29 ↑ (5.2)	3.68 ↑ (3.38)	1.36 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Police
8.8%

Draw
24.6%

Nouadhibou
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

26.9%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

26.5%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Police's form might have worsened.

Nouadhibou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nouadhibou's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Police, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nouadhibou than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nouadhibou, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Police - Nouadhibou Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Nouadhibou (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nouadhibou will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Nouadhibou (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Mahmoud A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).

Recent performances by Police have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Nouadhibou is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Nouadhibou is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Police won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 0:7. (average 0:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Police won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASC Police
Mauritania Ligue 1
21.12.25	Chemal - Police	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Police - Nouakchott Academie	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	SNIM - Police	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Police - Pompier	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Inter Nouakchott - Police	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLTTT
- FC Nouadhibou
Mauritania Ligue 1
22.12.25	Nouadhibou - Douanes Nouakchott	3:2 ✺
16.12.25	Ksar - Nouadhibou	0:2 ✺
11.12.25	SNIM - Nouadhibou	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Nouadhibou - Nzeidane	2:1 ✺
03.12.25	Gendrim - Nouadhibou	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mauritania Ligue 1
27.02.23	Nouadhibou - Police	3:0
23.10.22	Police - Nouadhibou	0:1
20.05.22	Nouadhibou - Police	2:0
07.02.22	Police - Nouadhibou	0:1

Police - Nouadhibou: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide