Match Info

THAILAND: Thai League 1 - Round 29

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday

Location: Boonyachinda Stadium (Bangkok)


	Police Tero		Bangkok United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	8.25	5.5	1.24
	10	5.5	1.22	Watch
	9.74	6.22	1.25
	9.74	6.22	1.25
	9	5	1.22
	7.92	5.81	1.3	Watch
	8.4	5.8	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.01 ↑ (7.43)	5.72 ↑ (5.21)	1.25 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Police Tero
10.2%

Draw
16.1%

Bangkok United
73.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.5%

17.8%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.3%

17.5%

70.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Police Tero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Bangkok United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police Tero than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bangkok United than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Police Tero - Bangkok United Predictions

Users Predictions: Bangkok United will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Makthuam N. (G) 32. Villanueva D. 35. Honny I. 30. Creevey M. 4. Harape P. 8. Churok T. 18. Namphueng S. 44. Moraksa R. 42. Panthong S. 7. Munsuwan N. 9. Tsoumou J.	1. Khammai P. (G) 51. Nontharath K. 26. Thongsong S. 3. Everton 24. Jarunongkran W. 8. Imura W. 39. Anan P. 28. Limwannasthian T. 11. Phumichantuk R. 29. Willen 93. Eid Mahmoud
Substitutes
15. Buangam C. 11. Bunta S. 27. Darbellay D. 3. Inprakhon T. 33. Islame Y. 10. Karikari K. 31. Noichernphan A. 2. Samre E. 25. Teangdar Y. (G)	20. Keereeleang G. 22. Kraisorn A. 34. Mekmusik W. (G) 17. Mhuaddarak T. 2. Notchaiya P. 6. Selanon N. 94. Soukouna A. 19. Srinawong C. 5. Wannasri P.
Coaches
Hoe T.	Sripan T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Villanueva D. ⚽,
40', Churok T. 🟨,
43', Phumichantuk R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Nontharath K. ↓, Selanon N. ↑,
46', Jarunongkran W. ↓, Notchaiya P. ↑,
46', Imura W. ↓, Soukouna A. ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Tsoumou J. ⚽, Munsuwan N. (A),
56', Harape P. ↓, Inprakhon T. ↑,
62', Eid Mahmoud ↓, Srinawong C. ↑,
68', Namphueng S. ↓, Samre E. ↑,
68', Munsuwan N. ↓, Karikari K. ↑,
77', Villanueva D. ↓, Bunta S. ↑,
77', Churok T. ↓, Islame Y. ↑,
79', Makthuam N. 🟨,
83', 3 - 0, Islame Y. ⚽, Bunta S. (A),
90+3', Limwannasthian T. ↓, Mhuaddarak T. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).

Police Tero is Relegated to Thai League 2

Last 5 head-to-head matches Police Tero won 1.

Recent matches Police Tero is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bangkok United is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Police Tero could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bangkok United is indisputable favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Police Tero won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 24-41.

Including matches at home between the teams Police Tero won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Police Tero
Thai League 1
11.05.24	Sukhothai - Police Tero	2:0 ✺
04.05.24	Police Tero - Chiangrai United	0:0 ✺
28.04.24	Trat - Police Tero	4:2 ✺
20.04.24	Police Tero - Uthai Thani	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Lamphun Warriors - Police Tero	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LTLWT
- Bangkok United
Thai League 1
12.05.24	Bangkok United - Trat	5:0 ✺
Thai FA Cup
08.05.24	Bangkok United - Udon United	5:0 ✺
Thai League 1
05.05.24	Khonkaen United - Bangkok United	2:2 ✺
29.04.24	Bangkok United - Prachuap	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	Nakhon Pathom United - Bangkok United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
24.12.23	Bangkok United - Police Tero	1:1
23.04.23	Bangkok United - Police Tero	4:1
Thai FA Cup
19.04.23	Police Tero - Bangkok United	0:4
Thai League 1
13.11.22	Police Tero - Bangkok United	1:0
09.04.22	Police Tero - Bangkok United	1:4
Thai FA Cup
19.01.22	Bangkok United - Police Tero	0:1
Thai League 1
09.11.21	Bangkok United - Police Tero	5:0

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