Match Info

THAILAND: THAI LEAGUE 1 - ROUND 5

Date: 25 September 2023, Monday

Location: Boonyachinda Stadium (Bangkok)


	Police Tero		Buriram United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.5	4.5	1.38	Watch
	7.08	4.87	1.42
	7	4	1.36
	6.7	4.8	1.38	Watch
	6	4.6	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.66 ↑ (5.13)	4.55 ↑ (4.04)	1.39 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Police Tero
13.8%

Draw
20.1%

Buriram United
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

22.7%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

22.3%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Police Tero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Buriram United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Buriram United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police Tero than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buriram United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Police Tero - Buriram United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Nasri S. (G) 23. Sosungnoen A. 35. Honey I. 13. Bueraheng A. 4. Thongsaengphrao J. 2. Samre E. 6. Wellington 32. Villanueva D. 42. Panthong S. 9. Jeong W. 10. Karikari K.	1. Tedsungnoen S. (C) 25. Peenagatapho S. 3. Hemviboon P. 11. Cools D. 2. Haiprakon S. 5. Bunmathan T. 20. Causic G. 55. Inprakhon T. 10. Sheydayev R. 8. Maikami R. 26. Doumbouya L.
Substitutes
15. Buangam C. 19. Chaowana Y. 20. Fomthaisong A. 29. Makthuam N. (G) 7. Munsuwan N. 18. Namphueng S. 11. Phokhi J. 3. Phumipha E. A.	6. Chamratsamee P. 44. Chotmuangpak T. 9. Jaided S. 4. James L. 92. Kim Min-Hyeok 95. Ratree S. 18. Teangdar Y. (G) 77. Wongsa P.
Coaches
Viwatchaichok R.	Papastamatis A.

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Police Tero won 0.

Recent matches Police Tero is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Buriram in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Police Tero could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Buriram is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Police Tero won 2 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 22-40.

Including matches at home between the teams Police Tero won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Police Tero
Thai League 1
16.09.23	Ratchaburi - Police Tero	6:1 ✺
26.08.23	Police Tero - Chonburi	3:2 ✺
18.08.23	Thai Port - Police Tero	3:1 ✺
11.08.23	Police Tero - Pathum United	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	MOF Customs United - Police Tero	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLTW
- Buriram United
AFC Champions League
20.09.23	Buriram United - Zhejiang Professional	4:1 ✺
Thai League 1
15.09.23	Buriram United - Trat	4:0 ✺
26.08.23	Sukhothai - Buriram United	0:1 ✺
20.08.23	Buriram United - Lamphun Warriors	3:0 ✺
12.08.23	Khonkaen United - Buriram United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
18.02.23	Buriram United - Police Tero	3:0
17.09.22	Police Tero - Buriram United	1:4
02.02.22	Police Tero - Buriram United	2:2
11.09.21	Buriram United - Police Tero	3:1
28.03.21	Buriram United - Police Tero	2:0
16.02.20	Police Tero - Buriram United	1:0
22.09.18	Buriram United - Police Tero	2:0

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