The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Police Tero 35.3%
Draw 29.6%
Nakhon Ratchasima 35.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.3%
28.4%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.9%
27.3%
34.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Police Tero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Nakhon Ratchasima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police Tero than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Police Tero - Nakhon Ratchasima Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Saenruecha W. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 1 - 1, Prempree P. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police Tero won 2.
In recent outings, Police Tero has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Nakhon Ratchasima is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Police Tero has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:17 (averaging 0.8:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Police Tero against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 8:8 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
8
3
3
2
12:10
2
12
12
Police Tero
8
3
1
4
11:14
-3
10
Last Results with these Odds
Police Tero - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 38.32%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.