Match Info

Thai League 2 - Round 23

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Boonyachinda Stadium (Bangkok)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Police Tero		Rasisalai United

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.15	2.82	Watch
	2.4	3.25	3.11
	2.34	3.07	2.94	Watch
	2.25	2.9	2.9
	2.37	2.82	3.07
	2.37	2.71	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.25)	2.98 ↓ (3.46)	2.99 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Police Tero
39%

Draw
30.5%

Rasisalai United
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

26.4%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

25.5%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Police Tero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Rasisalai United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police Tero than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rasisalai United than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Police Tero - Rasisalai United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Jiraphaksiri W. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
82', 1 - 1, Moreira A. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 1 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 1).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Police Tero has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Police Tero won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Police Tero	4	2	0	2	4:5	-1	6

Last Results with these Odds

Police Tero - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.66%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Police Tero
Thai League 2
04.02.26	Chiangmai United - Police Tero	4:1 ✺
01.02.26	Police Tero - Pattaya United	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Police Tero - Songkhla	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Police Tero - Pattani	3:0 ✺
09.01.26	Police Tero - Nakhon Si United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWTWT
- Rasisalai United
Thai League 2
04.02.26	Rasisalai United - Nakhon Si United	3:0 ✺
30.01.26	Chanthaburi - Rasisalai United	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Rasisalai United - Chainat	0:3 ✺
18.01.26	Sisaket United - Rasisalai United	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Rasisalai United - Bangkok FC	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
27.09.25	Rasisalai United - Police Tero	2:1

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