Match Info

THAILAND: Thai League 2 - Round 7

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Boonyachinda Stadium (Bangkok)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	True Ball Thai 7


	Police Tero		Suphanburi

	1	X	2
	1.29	5	8	Watch
	1.26	4.8	8.27
	1.29	4.81	9.31	Watch
	1.26	5.15	8.95
	1.29	5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.78)	4.95 ↑ (3.38)	8.51 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Police Tero
71%

Draw
18.3%

Suphanburi
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

27.2%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

26.6%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Police Tero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Police Tero's performance.

Suphanburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Suphanburi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Police Tero than the current prediction. (-18.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Police Tero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suphanburi than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Suphanburi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Police Tero - Suphanburi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 1 - 0, Fernando Viana ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Police Tero won 3.

Recent matches Police Tero is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Suphanburi has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Police Tero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Police Tero is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Police Tero won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Police Tero won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Police Tero
Thai League 2
22.09.24	Samut Prakan City - Police Tero	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Police Tero - Pattaya United	2:1 ✺
31.08.24	Ayutthaya United - Police Tero	2:1 ✺
25.08.24	Police Tero - Chanthaburi	1:1 ✺
18.08.24	Police Tero - Nakhon Si United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWLTW
- Suphanburi FC
Thai League 2
21.09.24	Suphanburi - Trat	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	Chanthaburi - Suphanburi	3:1 ✺
01.09.24	Suphanburi - Kasetsart	3:3 ✺
24.08.24	Nakhon Si United - Suphanburi	2:0 ✺
18.08.24	Sisaket United - Suphanburi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
16.04.22	Suphanburi - Police Tero	1:2
13.11.21	Police Tero - Suphanburi	1:0
06.03.21	Police Tero - Suphanburi	3:1
30.10.20	Suphanburi - Police Tero	5:0
15.07.18	Police Tero - Suphanburi	1:1
28.03.18	Suphanburi - Police Tero	2:0
08.07.17	Suphanburi - Police Tero	3:2

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