Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 33

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday


	Polisportiva Vastogirardi		Montegiorgio

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.95	3.2
	2.16	2.99	3.18
	2.19	3.05	3.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2)	3 ↑ (2.92)	3.23 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polisportiva Vastogirardi
42%

Draw
30.1%

Montegiorgio
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

30%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

24.3%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polisportiva Vastogirardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Montegiorgio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polisportiva Vastogirardi than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polisportiva Vastogirardi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montegiorgio than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vastogirardi won 1.

Vastogirardi is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montegiorgio has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vastogirardi will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Vastogirardi won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Vastogirardi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polisportiva Vastogirardi
Italian Serie D - Group F
23.04.23	Sambenedettese - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Vigor Senigallia	1:1 ✺
06.04.23	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Avezzano	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	Matese - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	3:0 ✺
19.03.23	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Fano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTWLL
- ASD Montegiorgio
Italian Serie D - Group F
23.04.23	Montegiorgio - Matese	0:1 ✺
16.04.23	Fano - Montegiorgio	3:1 ✺
06.04.23	Montegiorgio - Termoli	0:0 ✺
02.04.23	Vastese - Montegiorgio	2:1 ✺
19.03.23	Montegiorgio - Roma City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
17.12.22	Montegiorgio - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	0:0
01.05.22	Montegiorgio - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	2:0
14.11.21	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Montegiorgio	2:1
01.04.21	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Montegiorgio	0:1
13.12.20	Montegiorgio - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	1:1
10.11.19	Montegiorgio - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	2:0

Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Montegiorgio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide