Match Info
Serie D - Group F - Round 28Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
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Termoli |
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Fossombrone |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.42 |
2.92 |
2.78 |
|
 |
2.45 |
3.06 |
2.79 |
 Watch |
 |
2.42 |
3.02 |
2.72 |
|
 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↓
(2.49) |
2.98 ↑
(2.94) |
2.77 ↑
(2.74) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Termoli
37.2% | Draw
30.3% | Fossombrone
32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Termoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Fossombrone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)The ML Model estimate for Termoli aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fossombrone than the current prediction. (-0.4%)Termoli - Fossombrone Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 9).The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termoli won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).Including home matches between the teams, Termoli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Fossombrone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 |
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| 12 | Termoli | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group F | | | 09.11.25 | Fossombrone - Termoli | 1:0 | | 19.01.25 | Termoli - Fossombrone | 0:1 | | 22.09.24 | Fossombrone - Termoli | 0:0 | | 25.02.24 | Termoli - Fossombrone | 3:0 | | 22.10.23 | Fossombrone - Termoli | 1:0 |
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