Match Info

Premier League - Round 2

Date: 10 August 2026, Monday

Location: Tsentralnyi Stadion (Zhytomyr)

Referee: Kopiyevsky V. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	UPL TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Polissya Zhytomyr		Kharkiv

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.40	4.60
	1.80	3.30	4.45
	1.79	3.51	4.75
	2.03	3.39	3.94	Watch
	1.75	3.45	4.60
	1.81	3.55	4.66	Watch
	1.78	3.25	4.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.05)	3.41 ↑ (3.19)	4.47 ↑ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polissya Zhytomyr
51.5%

Draw
27.5%

Kharkiv
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

29.8%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

27.9%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polissya Zhytomyr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polissya Zhytomyr's performance.

Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polissya Zhytomyr than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polissya Zhytomyr that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Polissya Zhytomyr - Kharkiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Polissya will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Kharkiv will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Bushchan G. (G) 15. Mykhaylichenko B. 44. Chobotenko S. 16. Krasniqi I. 55. Krushynskyi B. 8. Babenko R. (C) 18. Andriyevski O. 27. Fedor O. 11. Leandro Andrade 95. Krasnopir I. 10. Veleten V.	1. Yermakov G. (G) 27. Krupskyi I. 18. Pavlyuk Y. 31. Shabanov A. 29. Smolyakov A. 5. Kalyuzhnyi I. (C) 7. Zabergja B. 11. Castillo S. 6. Profini R. 19. Rashica E. 10. Paraco C.
Substitutes
22. Araujo A. 45. Bragaru M. 14. Emerllahu L. 9. Filippov O. 89. Gayduchyk M. 94. Gryshkevych D. 4. Kravchenko M. 1. Kudryk O. (G) 31. Maisuradze G. 7. Nazarenko O. 19. Shepelev V. 98. Talko D. (G)	9. Antyukh D. 77. Cauan Baptistella 37. Dubko V. 14. Gadzhyev R. 98. Itodo P. 25. Kogut I. 88. Korol A. 24. Martynyuk O. 23. Protsenko Y. (G) 13. Salyuk V. 30. Varakuta D. (G) 8. Yatsyk O.
Coaches
Rotan R.	Bartulovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Andriyevski O. ⚽,
30', Leandro Andrade 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', Smolyakov A. 🟨,
53', Profini R. ↓, Yatsyk O. ↑,
54', Rashica E. ↓, Itodo P. ↑,
58', Veleten V. ↓, Nazarenko O. ↑,
58', Fedor O. ↓, Bragaru M. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Chobotenko S. ⚽, Leandro Andrade (A),
65', 3 - 0, Bragaru M. ⚽, Mykhaylichenko B. (A),
68', Andriyevski O. ↓, Araujo A. ↑,
68', Krasnopir I. ↓, Gayduchyk M. ↑,
68', Zabergja B. ↓, Gadzhyev R. ↑,
71', Araujo A. 🟨,
79', Castillo S. ↓, Antyukh D. ↑,
82', 3 - 1, Itodo P. ⚽, Kalyuzhnyi I. (A),
86', Mykhaylichenko B. ↓, Kravchenko M. ↑,
90+2', Babenko R. 🟨,

Preview

Polissya has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kharkiv has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kharkiv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kharkiv has had a series of home games.

Polissya is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polissya won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Polissya won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Polissya Zhytomyr	7	6	0	1	15:5	10	18
5	FC Kharkiv	6	4	0	2	12:4	8	12

Last Results with these Odds

Polissya Zhytomyr - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 46.32%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polissya Zhytomyr
Ukrainian Premier League
02.08.26	Chornomorets Odesa - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.07.26	Copenhagen - Polissya Zhytomyr	2:1 ✺
23.07.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Copenhagen	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:3 ✺
10.07.26	Swarovski Tirol - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLTLW
- FC Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League
01.08.26	Kharkiv - Veres Rivne	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.26	Kharkiv - Schalke 04	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Kharkiv - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
16.07.26	Kharkiv - Hradec Králové	3:3 ✺
15.07.26	Jablonec - Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
03.05.26	Kharkiv - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:1
03.11.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Kharkiv	0:0
19.05.24	Kharkiv - Polissya Zhytomyr	3:3
11.11.23	Polissya Zhytomyr - Kharkiv	2:1
Ukrainian Persha Liga
05.04.21	Polissya Zhytomyr - Kharkiv	0:0

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