Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday


	Kharkiv		Fagiano Okayama

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.44	4.18	2.32	Watch
	1.65	4.2	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.65)	4.19 ↓ (4.2)	3.21 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kharkiv
47.1%

Draw
23%

Fagiano Okayama
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

21.9%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

20.8%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kharkiv's form might have worsened.

Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fagiano Okayama's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kharkiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fagiano Okayama, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Varakuta D. (G)
9. Antyukh D.
70. Bagriy I.
11. Castillo S.
37. Dubko V.
14. Gadzhyev R.
25. Kogut I.
88. Korol A.
85. Plichko O.
41. Potapenko Y.
13. Salyuk V. (C)
Substitutes
16. Arevalo Chaparro J. N.
95. Goncharov M. (G)
5. Kaliuzhnyi I.
27. Krupskyi I.
24. Martynyuk O.
. Paraco C.
18. Pavlyuk Y.
. Profini R.
23. Protsenko Y. (G)
19. Rashica E.
31. Shabanov A.
. Yatsyk O.
26. Zabergja B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Lucao ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 1 - 1, Gadzhyev R. ⚽,
78', 1 - 2, Browne N. ⚽,

Preview

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Okayama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kharkiv is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kharkiv
Club Friendly
16.07.26	Kharkiv - Hradec Králové	3:3 ✺
15.07.26	Jablonec - Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
10.07.26	Wolfsberger - Kharkiv	3:3 ✺
09.07.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Kharkiv	4:0 ✺
05.07.26	Kharkiv - Young Boys	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTLL
- Fagiano Okayama
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Paderborn - Fagiano Okayama	3:1 ✺
14.07.26	Wehen Wiesbaden - Fagiano Okayama	2:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.06.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Fagiano Okayama	0:2 ✺
31.05.26	Fagiano Okayama - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Fagiano Okayama - Cerezo Osaka	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWTL

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