Match Info

Superliga - Relegation Group - Round 5

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadionul Emil Alexandrescu (Iaşi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 10
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV


	Politehnica Iași		Botoșani

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2.15	Watch
	2.95	3	2.35
	3.25	3.1	2.24
	3.51	3.15	2.25
	3.37	3.19	2.2	Watch
	3	2.88	2.45
	3.4	3.2	2.22	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.55)	3.09 ↑ (3.05)	2.26 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Politehnica Iași
28.6%

Draw
30.2%

Botoșani
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

30.3%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

30.5%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Politehnica Iași has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Politehnica Iași's form might have worsened.

Botoșani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Botoșani's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Politehnica Iași than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Politehnica Iași, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botoșani than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Botoșani, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	33.3%	55.6%

Politehnica Iași - Botoșani Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Poli Iași will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Botoșani will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botoșani: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Botoșani (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Fernandez J. (G) 42. Guilherme 2. Umar M. 6. Boben M. 27. Ispas R. 11. Diakhaby A. 37. Bordeianu M. 24. Marchioni J. 20. Stefanovici S. 10. Roman A. 9. Skuka X.	99. Anestis G. (C) 12. Friday A. 5. Matricardi P. 66. Iacob P. 3. Pavlovic M. 28. Petro C. 67. Papa E. 64. Mouaddib J. 26. Ongenda H. 11. Mitrov Z. 9. Lopez E.
Substitutes
26. Adascalitei M. 1. Ailenei I. (G) 7. Amaral J. 30. Bordusanu A. 19. Camara S. 77. Ciobanu D. 13. Cret C. 8. Dudu 4. Moreira C. 5. Oum Gouet S. 99. Tailson 21. Tanasa M.	20. Benzar R. 7. Bodisteanu S. 6. Celea D. 29. Chica-Rosa A. 10. Cimpanu G. 2. Diez A. 8. Filip R. 70. Gligor G. 1. Kukic L. (G) 4. Miron A. 32. Seroni A. 30. Tiganasu A.
Coaches
Miriuta V.	Grozavu L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Bordeianu M. (Pen),
20', 2 - 0, Skuka X. ⚽, Stefanovici S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Papa E. ↓, Filip R. ↑,
46', Lopez E. ↓, Chica-Rosa A. ↑,
46', Mouaddib J. ↓, Cimpanu G. ↑,
57', Marchioni J. ↓, Dudu ↑,
57', Diakhaby A. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
68', Roman A. ↓, Tailson ↑,
68', Skuka X. ↓, Amaral J. ↑,
69', Mitrov Z. ↓, Bodisteanu S. ↑,
74', 3 - 0, Camara S. ⚽, Tailson (A),
80', Filip R. 🟨,
81', Bordeianu M. ↓, Oum Gouet S. ↑,
81', Pavlovic M. ↓, Tiganasu A. ↑,
82', Ongenda H. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Politehnica Iași won 1.

Politehnica Iași is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Botoșani is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Politehnica Iași could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Politehnica Iași have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Politehnica Iași: Moise R. F. (Inactive) Samayoa N. (Inactive)

There will not play in Botoșani: Albu C. A. (Injury) Aldair (Red Card) Panoiu S. (Inactive) Sadiku R. (Knee Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Politehnica Iași won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 23:33 (average 1.2:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Politehnica Iași won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:11 (average 0.9:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Politehnica Iași - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.19%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSM Politehnica Iași
Romanian SuperLiga
11.04.25	Gloria Buzău - Politehnica Iași	0:1 ✺
04.04.25	Oţelul Galaţi - Politehnica Iași	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Politehnica Iași - UTA Arad	4:0 ✺
15.03.25	Farul Constanța - Politehnica Iași	0:0 ✺
07.03.25	Oţelul Galaţi - Politehnica Iași	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WLWTW
- FC Botoşani
Romanian SuperLiga
14.04.25	Botoșani - Oţelul Galaţi	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	UTA Arad - Botoșani	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Botoșani - Farul Constanța	4:3 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Sheriff Tiraspol - Botoșani	2:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
14.03.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - Botoșani	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
25.11.24	Botoșani - Politehnica Iași	1:1
19.07.24	Politehnica Iași - Botoșani	1:0
30.03.24	Botoșani - Politehnica Iași	2:1
02.02.24	Botoșani - Politehnica Iași	2:1
18.09.23	Politehnica Iași - Botoșani	1:1
Club Friendly
25.03.23	Politehnica Iași - Botoșani	1:2
Romanian SuperLiga
18.01.21	Politehnica Iași - Botoșani	0:1

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