Match Info

Superliga - Relegation Group - Round 7

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday

Location: Stadionul Emil Alexandrescu (Iaşi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV


	Politehnica Iași		Sepsi OSK

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.15	Watch
	2.75	3.25	2.35
	3	3.25	2.28
	3.24	3.32	2.29
	3.13	3.38	2.23	Watch
	2.88	3.2	2.4
	3.02	3.4	2.31	Watch
	3	3.25	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.75)	3.28 ↑ (3.05)	2.29 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Politehnica Iași
31%

Draw
28.3%

Sepsi OSK
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

30.3%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

30.5%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Politehnica Iași has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Sepsi OSK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Politehnica Iași than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sepsi OSK than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Politehnica Iași - Sepsi OSK Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Poli Iași will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Sepsi will win (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Poli Iași: 55.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Poli Iași (votes: 1 - 50%). Sepsi (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Fernandez J. (G) 42. Guilherme 2. Umar M. 6. Boben M. 27. Ispas R. 11. Diakhaby A. 37. Bordeianu M. 24. Marchioni J. 20. Stefanovici S. 10. Roman A. 9. Skuka X.	33. Niczuly R. (G) 4. Harut D. 82. Ninaj B. 24. Simic M. 2. Dumitrescu A. 5. Mino S. 18. Siger D. 7. El Sawy O. 10. Matei C. 3. Stefan F. 11. Oberlin D.
Substitutes
26. Adascalitei M. 1. Ailenei I. (G) 7. Amaral J. 30. Bordusanu A. 77. Ciobanu D. 13. Cret C. 16. Dobrean D. 4. Moreira C. 5. Oum Gouet S. 99. Tailson 21. Tanasa M.	12. Babunski D. 9. Coman M. 31. Gyenge S. (G) 59. Kallaku S. 26. Mailat S. 77. Neskovic M. 17. Oroian D. 25. Otelita B. 8. Skorup D. 44. Tamas M.
Coaches
Miriuta V.	Munteanu D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Umar M. 🟨,
35', Harut D. 🟨,
45+2', Stefan F. 🟨,
45+2', El Sawy O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', El Sawy O. ↓, Otelita B. ↑,
46', Stefan F. ↓, Neskovic M. ↑,
55', Umar M. ↓, Adascalitei M. ↑,
55', Diakhaby A. ↓, Tailson ↑,
68', Siger D. 🟨,
72', Roman A. ↓, Amaral J. ↑,
72', Marchioni J. ↓, Oum Gouet S. ↑,
75', Siger D. ↓, Skorup D. ↑,
80', Matei C. ↓, Babunski D. ↑,
86', Bordeianu M. ↓, Dudu ↑,
90+2', Oberlin D. ↓, Coman M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Politehnica Iași won 1.

Politehnica Iași is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sepsi is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Politehnica Iași: Moise R. F. (Knee Injury) Samayoa N. (Toe Injury)

There will not play in Sepsi: Debeljuh G. (Inactive) Paun N. I. (Knee Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Politehnica Iași won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:36. (average 0.9:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Politehnica Iași won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSM Politehnica Iași
Romanian SuperLiga
25.04.25	Unirea Slobozia - Politehnica Iași	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Politehnica Iași - Botoșani	3:0 ✺
11.04.25	Gloria Buzău - Politehnica Iași	0:1 ✺
04.04.25	Oţelul Galaţi - Politehnica Iași	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Politehnica Iași - UTA Arad	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWWLW
- ACS Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe
Romanian SuperLiga
25.04.25	Sepsi OSK - Oţelul Galaţi	0:3 ✺
18.04.25	UTA Arad - Sepsi OSK	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Sepsi OSK - Farul Constanța	1:4 ✺
04.04.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - Sepsi OSK	2:1 ✺
28.03.25	Sepsi OSK - Hermannstadt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
09.11.24	Politehnica Iași - Sepsi OSK	1:2
13.07.24	Sepsi OSK - Politehnica Iași	1:0
19.01.24	Sepsi OSK - Politehnica Iași	6:0
19.10.23	Politehnica Iași - Sepsi OSK	1:0
05.02.21	Sepsi OSK - Politehnica Iași	3:3
17.10.20	Politehnica Iași - Sepsi OSK	1:4
Romanian Cup
09.07.20	Politehnica Iași - Sepsi OSK	0:3

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