Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday


	Polkowice		Skra Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.35
	2.01	3.71	3.19	Watch
	1.93	3.5	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.8)	3.57 ↑ (3.22)	3.26 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polkowice
46.7%

Draw
25.5%

Skra Częstochowa
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

26.1%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

23.5%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Polkowice have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Skra Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polkowice than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polkowice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Polkowice - Skra Częstochowa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Metlushko I. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Kwapisz S. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
52', 2 - 1, Skrzypczak S. ⚽,
82', Jozefczyk L. 🟨,
87', 3 - 1, Wirenski J. ⚽,
89', 4 - 1, Strzelecki K. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polkowice won 3.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Polkowice could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Polkowice won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Polkowice won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Polkowice
Polish Division 3 - Group III
12.09.25	Polkowice - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	2:2 ✺
05.09.25	Miedź Legnica 2 - Polkowice	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Polkowice - Słowianin Wolibórz	3:2 ✺
27.08.25	Sparta Katowice - Polkowice	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Polkowice - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWWLW
- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 3 - Group III
13.09.25	Skra Częstochowa - Pniówek Pawłowice	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Skra Częstochowa	3:4 ✺
30.08.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Skra Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
27.08.25	Skra Częstochowa - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Kluczbork - Skra Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
16.04.22	Skra Częstochowa - Polkowice	2:2
03.10.21	Polkowice - Skra Częstochowa	0:0
Polish Division 2
03.05.21	Polkowice - Skra Częstochowa	2:1
07.11.20	Skra Częstochowa - Polkowice	1:3
29.02.20	Polkowice - Skra Częstochowa	4:1
17.08.19	Skra Częstochowa - Polkowice	1:0
Polish Division 3 - Group III
24.03.18	Polkowice - Skra Częstochowa	3:0

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