Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP III - ROUND 25

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday


	Polonia Bytom		Stal Brzeg

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.6	5.5
	1.3	5.15	6.25
	1.38	4.38	4.83
	1.42	4.65	6	Watch
	1.3	4.85	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.3)	4.73 ↓ (5.5)	6 ↓ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Bytom
66.1%

Draw
19%

Stal Brzeg
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

16.4%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

16%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Bytom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Stal Brzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Brzeg than the current prediction. (-1%)

Polonia Bytom - Stal Brzeg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Polonia Bytom won 4.

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Polonia Bytom is absolute favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Polonia Bytom won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Polonia Bytom won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 3 - Group III
15.04.23	Ślęza Wrocław - Polonia Bytom	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Polonia Bytom - Raków Częstochowa II	3:1 ✺
01.04.23	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Polonia Bytom	1:2 ✺
26.03.23	Polonia Bytom - Chrobry Głogów 2	2:0 ✺
22.03.23	Polonia Bytom - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWT
- Stal Brzeg
Polish Division 3 - Group III
15.04.23	Stal Brzeg - Lechia Zielona Góra	2:2 ✺
08.04.23	Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski - Stal Brzeg	2:5 ✺
01.04.23	Kluczbork - Stal Brzeg	6:2 ✺
25.03.23	Stal Brzeg - Ślęza Wrocław	2:1 ✺
18.03.23	Raków Częstochowa II - Stal Brzeg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
11.02.23	Polonia Bytom - Stal Brzeg	2:1
Polish Division 3 - Group III
17.09.22	Stal Brzeg - Polonia Bytom	0:1
16.04.22	Polonia Bytom - Stal Brzeg	3:2
08.09.21	Stal Brzeg - Polonia Bytom	1:3
19.06.21	Stal Brzeg - Polonia Bytom	3:2
28.11.20	Polonia Bytom - Stal Brzeg	1:0
Club Friendly
25.07.20	Stal Brzeg - Polonia Bytom	1:1

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