Match Info

Division 1 - Round 4

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion im. Edwarda Szymkowiaka (Bytom)

Referee: Kaliszewski F. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app


	Polonia Bytom		Stal Rzeszów

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	3.4
	1.7	3.7	4.2
	1.9	3.65	3.6
	1.93	3.8	3.78
	1.93	3.60	3.67	Watch
	1.73	3.5	4.33
	1.84	3.68	3.74
	1.78	3.75	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.78)	3.65 ↓ (3.75)	3.86 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Bytom
50.6%

Draw
25.4%

Stal Rzeszów
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

24.9%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

26.1%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Bytom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Stal Rzeszów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Polonia Bytom - Stal Rzeszów Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Polonia Bytom (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Polonia Bytom will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Holewinski A. (G) 14. Szymusik G. 30. Krzyzak O. 13. Azatsky O. 27. Apolinarski J. 8. Labojko M. 18. Gajda T. (C) 17. Wolkowicz K. 23. Arak J. 9. Wojtyra K. 11. Andrzejczak K.	88. Koziol M. (C) 2. Warczak P. 4. Synos M. 3. Krasovskiy V. 77. Kukulka K. 27. Gujda D. 7. Lysiak K. 21. Kadziolka S. 46. Lyczko S. 10. Jonathan Junior 18. Wachowiak K.
Substitutes
15. Kwiatkowski O. 35. Mazur K. (G) 10. Michalski K. 19. Sarmiento J. 16. Stefanski P. 5. Szwiec D. 77. Szymanski J. 29. Terlecki K. 7. Zielinski L.	20. Kucharski J. 41. Leniart M. 9. Masiak K. 11. Opalski M. 24. Polap D. 17. Slawinski O. 54. Soja M. 1. Vanivskyi S. (G) 25. Wolski F.
Coaches
Tomczyk L.	Zub M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Lyczko S. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Jonathan Junior ⚽, Kadziolka S. (A),
45+1', Gujda D. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Apolinarski J. ↓, Michalski K. ↑,
52', Labojko M. ↓, Terlecki K. ↑,
62', Wolkowicz K. ↓, Zielinski L. ↑,
62', Arak J. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
66', Michalski K. 🟨,
69', Lyczko S. ↓, Polap D. ↑,
69', Andrzejczak K. ↓, Kwiatkowski O. ↑,
76', Gajda T. 🟨,
79', Krasovskiy V. 🟨,
82', Kadziolka S. ↓, Slawinski O. ↑,
83', Jonathan Junior 🟨,
90+1', Jonathan Junior ↓, Masiak K. ↑,
90+5', Terlecki K. 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Polonia Bytom may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Polonia Bytom has had a series of away games.

In this match, Polonia Bytom is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Polonia Bytom - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 52.53%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Bytom
Polish Cup
05.08.25	Polonia Bytom - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	7:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
01.08.25	ŁKS Łódź - Polonia Bytom	5:0 ✺
26.07.25	Chrobry Głogów - Polonia Bytom	0:1 ✺
19.07.25	Górnik Łęczna - Polonia Bytom	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.25	Zbrojovka Brno - Polonia Bytom	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWL
- Stal Rzeszów
Polish Division 1
02.08.25	Stal Rzeszów - Chrobry Głogów	2:2 ✺
25.07.25	Stal Rzeszów - Śląsk Wrocław	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Stal Rzeszów	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.25	Stal Rzeszów - Rukh Lviv	1:0 ✺
09.07.25	Korona Kielce - Stal Rzeszów	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TWLWT

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