Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 14

Date: 6 December 2024, Friday


	Polvorín		Sarriana

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	2.9
	2.21	3.2	3
	2.22	3.2	2.92
	2.23	3.26	3.01	Watch
	2.22	3.18	3
	2.21	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.64)	3.19 ↑ (3.15)	2.97 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polvorín
41.1%

Draw
28.4%

Sarriana
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

29%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

28%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polvorín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polvorín's performance.

Sarriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarriana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polvorín than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polvorín that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarriana than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Polvorín - Sarriana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 0 - 1, Fernandez S. G. ⚽,
85', 0 - 2, Sane A. ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Polvorín won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Polvorín won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polvorín FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
01.12.24	Alondras - Polvorín	3:2 ✺
24.11.24	Polvorín - Silva SD	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Estradense - Polvorín	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Polvorín - Gran Peña	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Somozas - Polvorín	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTLWW
- SD Sarriana
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
30.11.24	Sarriana - RC Villalbes	0:1 ✺
24.11.24	Noia - Sarriana	2:1 ✺
17.11.24	Sarriana - Viveiro	3:1 ✺
09.11.24	Sarriana - Barbadás	5:0 ✺
03.11.24	Alondras - Sarriana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
17.02.24	Polvorín - Sarriana	1:0
01.10.23	Sarriana - Polvorín	0:1

Polvorín - Sarriana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide