Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday


	Sarriana		RC Villalbes

	1	X	2
	2.04	3.35	3.2
	2	3.49	3.35
	2.01	3.49	3.29	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.33
	2.04	3.35	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.7)	3.42 ↓ (3.65)	3.27 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarriana
45.2%

Draw
26.8%

RC Villalbes
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

25%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

24.4%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarriana's form might have worsened.

RC Villalbes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting RC Villalbes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarriana than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarriana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RC Villalbes than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for RC Villalbes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sarriana - RC Villalbes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Canizares J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Extra Time (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.

Sarriana has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Villalbes is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Sarriana has had a series of away games.

In this match, Sarriana is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sarriana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Sarriana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Sarriana
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
18.05.25	RC Villalbes - Sarriana	0:1 ✺
11.05.25	Atlético Arteixo - Sarriana	4:2 ✺
27.04.25	Betanzos - Sarriana	2:3 ✺
20.04.25	Sarriana - Polvorín	0:4 ✺
17.04.25	Valladares - Sarriana	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLT
- Racing Club Villalbes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
18.05.25	RC Villalbes - Sarriana	0:1 ✺
11.05.25	Polvorín - RC Villalbes	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	RC Villalbes - Barbadás	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	RC Villalbes - Noia	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Viveiro - RC Villalbes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
18.05.25	RC Villalbes - Sarriana	0:1
30.11.24	Sarriana - RC Villalbes	0:1

Sarriana - RC Villalbes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide