Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday


	Polvorín		Noia

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.1
	2.15	3.1	3.25
	2.17	2.94	3.29
	2.19	3.09	3.24
	2.15	3.05	3.27
	2.15	3.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.64)	3.05 ↑ (3.04)	3.23 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polvorín
42.2%

Draw
29.8%

Noia
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

29.7%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

30.5%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polvorín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polvorín's performance.

Noia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Noia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polvorín than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polvorín that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noia than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Noia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Polvorín - Noia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polvorín FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
15.12.24	Viveiro - Polvorín	1:3 ✺
06.12.24	Polvorín - Sarriana	0:2 ✺
01.12.24	Alondras - Polvorín	3:2 ✺
24.11.24	Polvorín - Silva SD	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Estradense - Polvorín	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLTL
- CF Noia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
14.12.24	Noia - RC Villalbes	2:0 ✺
06.12.24	Noia - Barbadás	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Viveiro - Noia	0:1 ✺
24.11.24	Noia - Sarriana	2:1 ✺
17.11.24	Alondras - Noia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
17.04.22	Noia - Polvorín	0:2

Polvorín - Noia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide