Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Noia		RC Villalbes

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.92	2.05
	3.68	2.87	2.16
	3.61	2.91	2.14
	3.63	2.82	2.12
	3.75	2.8	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (3.63)	2.86 ↑ (2.85)	2.11 (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noia
25.1%

Draw
31.8%

RC Villalbes
43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

31.5%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Noia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for RC Villalbes have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noia than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RC Villalbes than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Noia - RC Villalbes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 1)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Noia won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Villalbes will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Noia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Noia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Racing Club Villalbes	5	2	3	0	7:5	2	9

Last Results with these Odds

RC Villalbes - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.06%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Noia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
08.02.26	Barbadás - Noia	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Noia - Alondras	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Lugo B - Noia	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Gran Peña - Noia	5:0 ✺
11.01.26	Noia - Silva SD	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWTLT
- Racing Club Villalbes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
08.02.26	RC Villalbes - Viveiro	2:2 ✺
01.02.26	RC Villalbes - Barbadás	3:0 ✺
25.01.26	Alondras - RC Villalbes	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Lugo B - RC Villalbes	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	RC Villalbes - Gran Peña	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
28.09.25	RC Villalbes - Noia	2:0
27.04.25	RC Villalbes - Noia	0:1
14.12.24	Noia - RC Villalbes	2:0
03.04.22	Noia - RC Villalbes	0:3
28.11.21	RC Villalbes - Noia	3:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
18.03.18	RC Villalbes - Noia	3:0

Noia - RC Villalbes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide