Match Info
SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 13Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Polvorín |
|
Rápido de Bouzas |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.25 |
2.85 |
2.15 |
|
 |
3.4 |
2.95 |
2.15 |
|
 |
3.33 |
2.96 |
2.13 |
|
 |
3.33 |
2.97 |
2.14 |
|
 |
3.5 |
3 |
2.07 |
|
 |
3.4 |
2.95 |
2.15 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.37 ↑
(2.84) |
2.95 ↓
(3.13) |
2.13 ↓
(2.33) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Polvorín
26.9% | Draw
30.7% | Rápido de Bouzas
42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Polvorín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Polvorín's form might have worsened.Rápido de Bouzas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polvorín than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rápido de Bouzas than the current prediction. (-2.8%) 
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 9). Polvorín has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0). Recent matches Rápido de Bouzas is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Rápido de Bouzas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Polvorín won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3. Including matches at home between the teams Polvorín won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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