Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 15

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Ponte San Pietro Isola		Castellanzese

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Ponte San Pietro Isola
36.6%

Draw
29%

Castellanzese
34.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.1%

28.4%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

28.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte San Pietro Isola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Castellanzese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte San Pietro Isola than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

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In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).

Ponte San Pietro is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Castellanzese is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ponte San Pietro won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponte San Pietro won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ponte San Pietro Isola
Italian Serie D - Group B
19.11.23	Clivense - Ponte San Pietro Isola	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Piacenza	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Legnano	0:2 ✺
01.11.23	Caldiero Terme - Ponte San Pietro Isola	0:0 ✺
29.10.23	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Club Milano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLTT
- USD Castellanzese
Italian Serie D - Group B
19.11.23	Castellanzese - Crema	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Legnano - Castellanzese	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Castellanzese - Pro Palazzolo	0:1 ✺
01.11.23	Club Milano - Castellanzese	0:1 ✺
29.10.23	Castellanzese - Arconatese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TLLWW

Italian Serie D - Group B
06.03.22	Castellanzese - Ponte San Pietro Isola	2:3
24.10.21	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Castellanzese	1:1
16.02.20	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Castellanzese	2:2

Ponte San Pietro Isola - Castellanzese