The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Castellanzese 40%
Draw 29.5%
Arconatese 30.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45%
30%
25%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.6%
29.6%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellanzese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Arconatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arconatese's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castellanzese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arconatese than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arconatese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Castellanzese - Arconatese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
28', 1 - 0, Chessa M. (Pen),
34', 1 - 1, Pelamatti M. ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Coulibaly B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 2 - 2, Chessa M. ⚽,
Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Castellanzese won 3.
Castellanzese is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Arconatese is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Castellanzese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Castellanzese will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Castellanzese won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:14 (average 1.5:1.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Castellanzese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.3:1.3).
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