Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 5

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Location: Stadio Ettore Mannucci (Pontedera)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport MIX


	Pontedera		Campobasso

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.52	3.15	2.62
	2.49	3.25	2.83
	25.00	14.60	1.00	Watch
	2.44	3.08	2.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.11 ↑ (2.3)	6.02 ↑ (3.25)	2.28 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontedera
16.9%

Draw
22.8%

Campobasso
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28.1%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

28%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pontedera's form might have worsened.

Campobasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Campobasso's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+22.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pontedera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (-28%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Campobasso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pontedera - Campobasso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vannucchi T. (G) 21. Perretta G. 5. Corradini F. 3. Vona E. 7. Migliardi F. 14. Manfredonia M. 10. Ladinetti R. 17. Vitali P. 8. Faggi F. 11. Ianesi S. 29. Andolfi T.	1. Tantalocchi E. (G) 27. Cristallo C. 4. Celesia C. 2. Papini F. 18. Pierno R. 10. Gala A. 5. Gargiulo M. 8. Cerretelli F. 26. Leonetti V. 9. Magnaghi S. 14. Bifulco A.
Substitutes
24. Bassanini R. 33. Battimelli G. 32. Beghetto L. 22. Biagini V. (G) 27. Coviello A. 6. Gueye O. 4. Milazzo S. 25. Nabian H. 18. Paolieri L. 20. Pietrelli R. 16. Polizzi M. 19. Pretato M. 30. Strada N. (G) 26. Tempre M.	32. Di Livio L. 17. Lombari A. 20. Martina A. 50. Muzi C. (G) 11. Nocerino L. 7. Padula C. 75. Parisi F. 96. Ravaglioli T. 15. Rianna 12. Rizzo M. (G) 36. Serra A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Leonetti V. ⚽,
9', 0 - 2, Magnaghi S. ⚽,
30', 0 - 3, Pierno R. ⚽,
39', Faggi F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Andolfi T. ↓, Battimelli G. ↑,
46', Faggi F. ↓, Nabian H. ↑,
46', Migliardi F. ↓, Tempre M. ↑,
51', Leonetti V. 🟨,
55', Tantalocchi E. 🟨,
59', Magnaghi S. ↓, Padula C. ↑,
65', Padula C. 🟨,
68', 0 - 4, Bifulco A. ⚽,
69', Gala A. ↓, Serra A. ↑,
69', Leonetti V. ↓, Di Livio L. ↑,
70', Ianesi S. ↓, Polizzi M. ↑,
75', Vitali P. 🟨,
77', Ladinetti R. 🟨,
78', Vitali P. ↓, Coviello A. ↑,
83', Pierno R. ↓, Martina A. ↑,
83', Bifulco A. ↓, Nocerino L. ↑,

Preview

Pontedera is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Campobasso has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pontedera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Pontedera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B
13.09.25	Pontedera - Rimini	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Pineto - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Pontedera - Arezzo	0:3 ✺
23.08.25	Sassari Torres - Pontedera	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.25	Perugia - Pontedera	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTLLL
- Campobasso
Italian Serie C Group B
13.09.25	Campobasso - Pineto	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Carpi - Campobasso	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Campobasso - Sassari Torres	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Ravenna - Campobasso	3:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.25	Campobasso - Casertana	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
09.02.25	Campobasso - Pontedera	0:2
29.09.24	Pontedera - Campobasso	1:2

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