Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 17

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Pontevedra B		Somozas

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.85	2.3
	3.1	2.95	2.3
	3.05	2.85	2.35
	3.1	3	2.27
	3.1	2.95	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.4)	2.92 ↓ (3.2)	2.3 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontevedra B
29.6%

Draw
31%

Somozas
39.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.2%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

27.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontevedra B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pontevedra B's form might have worsened.

Somozas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontevedra B than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pontevedra B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Somozas than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Pontevedra B - Somozas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Recent matches Pontevedra B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Somozas is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontevedra B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
14.01.24	Alondras - Pontevedra B	1:1 ✺
06.01.24	Pontevedra B - UD Ourense	2:1 ✺
16.12.23	Pontevedra B - Paiosaco	1:3 ✺
03.12.23	Bergantiños - Pontevedra B	2:0 ✺
25.11.23	Pontevedra B - Arosa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TWLLT
- UD Somozas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
14.01.24	Somozas - Bergantiños	1:1 ✺
07.01.24	Arosa - Somozas	2:0 ✺
17.12.23	Somozas - Sarriana	0:3 ✺
03.12.23	Betanzos - Somozas	2:1 ✺
26.11.23	Somozas - Silva SD	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLLT

Pontevedra B - Somozas

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Pontevedra B - Somozas Predictions

Preview

Form

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