The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arosa 57.2%
Draw 25.8%
Somozas 17%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.4%
26.6%
20%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.3%
25.2%
19%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Somozas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somozas than the current prediction. (+2%)
Arosa - Somozas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 3.
Arosa is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Somozas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Somozas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Arosa is considered a favorite.
We predict that Arosa will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 2.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Arosa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Somozas
5
1
2
2
3:4
-1
5
Last Results with these Odds
Arosa - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 53.43%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
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