Match Info

Date: 28 August 2021, Saturday


	Pontypridd United		Undy Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	6.5
	1.35	4.6	6.5
	1.24	5.4	7.4
	1.17	5.94	10.03
	1.23	5.5	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.46)	5.19 ↑ (4.21)	7.79 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 11.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontypridd United
71%

Draw
17.4%

Undy Athletic
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

21.2%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.6%

17.4%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontypridd United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pontypridd United's performance.

Undy Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Undy Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Undy Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Pontypridd United - Undy Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 and 13).

Pontypridd in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Undy is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Undy have a series of home games.

In this match Pontypridd is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pontypridd won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Pontypridd won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontypridd United
Welsh Cymru South
24.08.21	Pontypridd United - Cwmbran Celtic	3:0 ✺
13.08.21	Llanelli - Pontypridd United	0:4 ✺
10.08.21	Pontypridd United - Risca United	2:1 ✺
27.07.21	Pontypridd United - Taffs Well AFC	4:3 ✺
Welsh League Cup
16.07.21	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Pontypridd United	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWWW
- Undy Athletic
Welsh Cymru South
21.08.21	Undy Athletic - Ammanford	1:8 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
13.08.21	Undy Athletic - Chepstow Town	3:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
06.08.21	Undy Athletic - Swansea University	1:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
27.07.21	Trefelin - Undy Athletic	4:1 ✺
23.07.21	Undy Athletic - Cambrian United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Division 1
29.12.18	Undy Athletic - Pontypridd United	2:4

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