Match Info

Cymru South - Round 13

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday

Location: USW Sports Park (Pontypridd)


	Pontypridd United		Cwmbran Celtic

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.05	3.85
	1.69	4.16	3.63
	1.52	4.45	5.11	Watch
	1.7	4.05	3.76
	1.46	4.4	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.46)	4.22 ↓ (4.4)	4.35 ↓ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pontypridd United
57.2%

Draw
21.7%

Cwmbran Celtic
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

20.7%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

13.9%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontypridd United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pontypridd United's form might have worsened.

Cwmbran Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pontypridd United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cwmbran Celtic than the current prediction. (+4%)

Pontypridd United - Cwmbran Celtic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Johnson S. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Edwards E. ⚽,
27', 3 - 0, Hillman T. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
56', 4 - 0, Angel L. ⚽,
73', 5 - 0, Marsh T. ⚽,
82', 6 - 0, Johnson S. ⚽,
86', 7 - 0, Gameson T. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pontypridd won 4.

In recent matches, Pontypridd has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cwmbran Celtic is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Pontypridd is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pontypridd won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.6:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Pontypridd won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontypridd United
Welsh Cymru South
01.11.25	Trefelin - Pontypridd United	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Pontypridd United - Cambrian United	2:4 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
17.10.25	Pontypridd United - Cefn Cribwr	3:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
11.10.25	Llantwit Major - Pontypridd United	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Pontypridd United - Treowen Stars	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLW
- Cwmbran Celtic
Welsh Cymru South
31.10.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Baglan Dragons	0:1 ✺
24.10.25	Ammanford - Cwmbran Celtic	2:1 ✺
10.10.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Caerau Ely	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Cardiff Draconians - Cwmbran Celtic	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh League Cup
18.07.25	Pontypridd United - Cwmbran Celtic	1:0 penalties
Welsh Cymru South
01.03.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Pontypridd United	2:1
11.10.24	Pontypridd United - Cwmbran Celtic	2:0
02.10.21	Cwmbran Celtic - Pontypridd United	1:2
24.08.21	Pontypridd United - Cwmbran Celtic	3:0
Welsh League Cup
12.12.20	Pontypridd United - Cwmbran Celtic	2:0
Welsh Division 1
19.01.19	Pontypridd United - Cwmbran Celtic	0:2

Upcoming Matches